Doc’s Political Parlor unearthed this Anzalone Liszt Research polling memo conducted for Democrat Joshua Segall (11/16-20, likely voters), who is running in Alabama’s 3rd District (PVI: R+4.1):
Joshua Segall (D): 26
Mike Rogers (R-inc): 54
(MoE: ±4.9%)
That’s a tough climb for any challenger, even one starting out with 14% name recognition like Segall.
On the generic ballot, Republicans have a three point lead on Democrats: 41% to 38%. On the informed ballot between Rogers and Segall, the incumbent’s lead shrinks to 48% to 41% after biographical information is given about both candidates.
But most interesting to me is this statistic — by a margin of 63% to 27%, voters want withdrawal from Iraq by the end of 2008. Now that’s a potent issue for Segall to put to his advantage if he runs a smart campaign.
in THIS district? (especially considering it’s R+4 PVI)
Whoa…this could potentially be big. And not just here.
The only thing that this poll shows is that Mike Rogers will win big. But I would love for Democrats to our money into this district.
The Bright race, have you heard anything?