Benenson Strategy Group for Charlie Brown (5/14-15, likely voters):
Charlie Brown (D): 38
Dough Ose (R): 34
Undecided: 27Charlie Brown (D): 42
Tom McClintock (R): 40
Undecided: 18
(MoE: ±5%)
Ose and McClintock are giving each other an absolute shellacking over the airwaves, so these are some nice numbers for Brown. Also of note — on the generic congressional ballot, Democrats and Republicans are at a 43%-43% parity, with 15% undecided. Those are dramatic numbers from an R+10.9 district.
Here are a few select favorability ratings from the poll:
McCain:
58/35
Obama:
57/34
McClintock:
39/29
Bush:
38/58
Brown:
36/18
Doolittle:
32/48
Ose:
27/28
It’ll be tough for Brown to get those few extra points that he needs to clinch a win here, but the numbers suggest that it’s certainly not impossible.
but it truly shows that it is a democratic year.
meaning that we might have a slight advantage but we’ll need to work our butts off on these races.
I knew he had a great shot at taking this seat.
Before taking one partisan poll all that seriously. As of this moment I’d still put this race at Lean R.