New Mexico Results Open Thread

Polls close in New Mexico at 9pm Eastern.  We’ll use this thread to follow the results in a number of hot congressional primaries:

  • NM-Sen (R)
  • NM-01 (D & R)
  • NM-02 (D & R)
  • NM-03 (D)

Results: Associated Press

4:34AM: Pearce wins. Time for sleep. What a great evening.

3:42AM (James): 99% in, and Pearce still holds a 2300 vote lead. The AP still hasn’t called it, but with 11 precincts outstanding, I see no way for Wilson to make up the difference.

3:05AM (James): Harry Teague pulls this one out of the fire with a 53-47 win according to the AP (95% reporting). Pearce has a 2350 vote lead over Wilson with 97% in.

2:14AM (James): 92% of the vote is in now in the 2nd CD, and Teague has expanded his lead to 53-47 (1800 votes).

2:13AM (James): 96% in, and Pearce is holding on to a 2400 vote lead over Wilson.

1:36AM (James): This could be bad news for Harry Teague. According to Heath Haussamen, results from Doña Ana County are being delayed due to problems with a rental truck.  The ballots won’t be counted for “some time”, according to local officials. Doña Ana is the home base of one Bill McCamley, who is a county commissioner there. As Samuel L. Jackson would say, hang on to yer butts.

12:53AM (James): Tinsley wins with 31%, according to the AP. In the Senate race, Pearce is holding on to his 52-48 lead with 91% reporting.

12:38AM (James): With 89% in, Pearcey is sitting at 52-48. In the 2nd CD, Teague is up by the same margin with 87% reporting.  And the AP has called NM-03 for Lujan.

12:35AM (James): The AP calls NM-01 for Martin Heinrich! I would expect a similar call for Ben Ray Lujan in the 3rd CD soon.

12:23AM: With 85% reporting, Pearce has moved back out to a 52-48 lead. It may not sound like much, but it is – Wilson would need 60% of the remaining votes to pull into a tie. That’s almost 24% better than what she’s been garnering all night. Meanwhile, in NM-02 (D), Bill McCamley also trails Harry Teague by 52-48, but faces an almost identical situation to Wilson’s.

12:03AM (James): With 80% in, Pearce is still up 51-49.  COME ON, PEARCEY!  Teague is clinging to a 51-49 lead with 83% in.

11:48PM (James): With 71% in, Pearce is up by 51-49. In the 2nd CD, with 76% reporting, Teague is clinging to his 52-48 lead, while Tinsley enjoys a 10% lead on his closest competitor. In the 3rd CD, Lujan has surged ahead big-time: he now leads Wiviott by 41-28 with 85% in.

11:22PM (James): With 55% in, we’re at 52-48 for Pearce. In the 2nd CD, Teague is also up by only 52-48.

11:07PM (James): With 44% in, Pearce is holding onto his 52-48 lead.  Heinrich is holding comfortably, but Teague only has a 53-47 lead over McCamley in 59% lead. Tinsley has some breathing room, and Wiviott has pulled to a 5% lead in the 3rd district with 60% in.

10:45PM (James): With 30% in, Pearce leads by 52-48. In the 2nd CD, Teague leads McCamley by 56-44 with 42% in. In the GOP primary, Tinsley has a slight lead. In the 3rd CD, Lujan has taken a 10% lead over Wiviott with 26% in.

10:31PM: With 17% in, Pearce has a 57-43 lead.

10:02PM (James): With 8% in, Wilson leads Pearce by 53-47. In the 2nd CD, Newman has taken a small lead over Tinsley and Dunn with 20% in, and Teague has a big lead in the Democratic race. In the 3rd CD, Wiviott leads by 2% over Lujan with 2% of precincts reporting.

9:50PM: Fifty minutes after polls have closed, and very few precincts have reported in. (Remember the problems NM had in tallying its presidential primary results?) Anyhow, with just a handful of votes in, Wilson leads Pearce 61-39. In the 1st CD, Heinrich has a sizable early lead over Vigil-Goron and Grisham. In the 2nd CD, Teague has a twenty-point lead over McCamley on our side, while there is a tight battle for first place between Tinsley and Dunn for the GOPers. Other results are either not in or too minimal to be worth relaying.

33 thoughts on “New Mexico Results Open Thread”

  1. Both candidates keep bouncing all over the place.  Wilson leads then Pearce, etc.  I imagine the state is polarized with this race, Pearce winning the rural areas big and Wilson the more urban areas.

  2. We need to push this country in a direction toward smart growth and energy conservation and it will help a lot to have a Congressman with experience and business success in these fields.

  3. Has Lujan’s base reported, yet?  I know that Wiviott was closing in a few final polls, but still figured he’d come up short.  It’s just a little surprising that Lujan might lose, but I’m also not too aware of NM politics.

  4. I regulary check the “United States Senate elections, 2008” page on Wikipedia to look for updates to many of the race ratings across CQPolitics, Cook, Rothenberg, Intratrade, and Sabato.

    When I checked tonight, I see that “Swing State Project” has been added to the “Source” chart! Oddly enough, the race ratings there match my own the best…ha ha.

    So give it up, who added SSP to the 2008 Senate Wiki page?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U

  5.   Less than 500 votes behind Teague.  You see…McCamley has a straw and it reaches acroooooss the room and starts to drink Teague’s milkshake!

  6. Had he endorsed her early on, she probably could have stopped Pearce before he got momentum.  Heather will be the quintessential lobbyist in no time.

  7. McCamley was so close and he was such a better candidate. Arg!!!

    Oh well. I got to see Obama today so it’s still pretty darn good!

  8. St. Rep. Robert Lange is down 36%-23% in the Republican Senatorial primary with 515 of 871 precincts in.

    The leader: Frequent candidate Bob Kelleher, who ran for the Senate in 2006 as a Republican, in 2002 as a Green, in 1988 as a Democrat. While also losing candidacies for Governor (2004 as a Green, 1996, 1992, 1988, and 1980 as a Democrat). And losing a candidacy for President in 1976.

    Kelleher did win a major party nomination in 1968 for Congress as a Democrat.

    Kelleher, who is 85, has called for America to adopt a parliamentary form of Government since 1972.

    Verdict: Ultrasafe, Baucus.

  9. The AP gives him the nod with a 2,911 vote lead and three precincts to go.

    Heather Wilson in her campaign site is attacking out of state spending by the Club For Growth including veteran GOP troublemakers Bob Perry and Jackson Stephens.  Perry was the largest funder of Swift Boat Veterans for “Truth.”

  10. This is that much more in the bag.  He was a less proficient fundraiser, and is the more conservative candidate.  Also, his campaign burned a lot more money than Wilson’s.  

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