Polls close in Iowa at 10pm Eastern and in California at 11pm Eastern. We’ll use this thread to follow the results in two hot congressional primaries:
Iowa: IA-03 (D) | Results: Associated Press
California: CA-04 (R) | Results: Associated Press
2:58AM (James): Second time’s the charm. After an embarrassing primary loss in 2006 to a no-money candidate, Democrat Russ Warner has clinched the nomination in CA-26 against the same opponent. And in CA-42, Ed Chau wins.
2:29AM (James): With 53% reporting, the AP has called CA-04 for Conservative Icon Tom McClintock. Good. In many ways, McClintock fits the Woody Jenkins/Jim Oberweis candidate model: hardcore conservatism and a record of high-profile election losses. As a cherry on top, we have a rather extreme case of carpetbagging here, too. I’m not saying it’s going to be easy (indeed, the odds are rather long) for Charlie Brown, but McClintock’s candidacy provides him with some good dynamics for him to exploit.
1:48AM (James): 40% in and CA-04 still hasn’t budged an inch: 53-39 McClintock.
1:13AM (James): I think they’re taking a ganja break in CA-04, but the latest numbers, with 22% in, still favor McClintock over Ose by 53-39. Theodore Terbolizard is only garnering 2% of the vote so far. Sadly, it appears that we won’t have a new terbolizard to lead us out of the darkness.
12:23AM (James): A few other updates. The early votes in CA-50 are in, and Nick Leibham is up by 55-45 over Cheryl Ede. In CA-42, people-powered Ron Shepston has powered himself to 22% and third place in the early vote.
12:08AM (James): With 11% in, it’s still 53-39 for the Conservative Icon.
11:40PM (James): With 5% in, McClintock has a 53-39 lead over Ose.
11:14PM (James): With 79% in, the AP has called IA-03 for Lenny Boswell.
10:59PM (James): With 70% in, Boswell has a 58-42 lead. In the IA-04 primary, Becky Greenwald has 50% with 13% of precincts reporting.
10:43PM: With 60% in, Boswell’s lead has widened to 57-43. My back-of-the-envelope says that Fallon would need 60% of the outstanding vote just to pull even – in other words, he’d have to run 35 points ahead of where he’s been all night.
10:26PM (James): With 46% reporting, Boswell is leading Fallon by 56-44.
I’ve never heard of any of them. Did they fail to find even a 4th tier candidate to challenge Harkin?
Up 56-44% with half the votes in.
Ose or McClintock? I’m not familiar enough with this race to have a good read on which is more beatable in the general.
for Boswell…. 🙁
May you always have to look over your left shoulder.
have Warner up 62-38. W00t!
Although he’s somewhat of moderate, He’s done a great job seeing as he was the first and only(before the ’06 midterm) Democrat to undo the ’94 wins that gave Iowa an ALL Republican Delegation!
If we start attacking incumbents for not being liberal enough in districts that are moderate to conservative, we’re going to be in big trouble in future Elections. Nasty primaries where moderate/conservative Dem incumbents lost to liberal dems (in conservative districts) paved the way for easy victories for the Republicans in ’94
Right now we’re seeing a lot of this from republicans where moderate incumbents are being defeated by conservative challengers. It always seems to happen in the party that is falling/fallen out of power.
So I do have quite a bit of respect for many of the conservative Dems, sure some of you guys might call them bush dogs, but ask yourself this, would you rather have a conservative Dem who votes about 1/2 the time with you than another Rubber stamp Republican who votes nearly 100% time against you?
Wiviott’s numbers just collapsed. I’m calling it for Lujan. Teague/McCamley and Wilson/Peare are still nailbiters.
National Repubicans must be embarassed.