So I found this article on a CNN link today. Apparently the all mighty Time magazine has decided which Congressional races are worth watching this year. Some I agree with, but a swath of others I do not. I honestly think they just made a bunch of stuff up to fill the space for this article. Let me give you my opinion:
MS-01: Travis Childers is going back to Congress in November. Davis and the GOP already tried the linking-Childers-to-liberal-Obama trick and it backfired. It’s not going to work again.
OH-01: I actually don’t think Chabot is that vulnerable, he may end up squeezing out Deborah Pryce 2006 numbers. Cincinnati is still pretty Republican after all.
PA-10: Um, I don’t even know who this Chris Hackett guy is. Is he Paul Hackett’s brother (kinda looks like him)
VA-11: I actually saw Gerry Connelly on Lou Dobbs’ the other day speaking out on local actions on illegal immigration he plans to take as Fairfax County chair. Sounded like a man with a plan, and deserving to go to Congress. And how can Fimian claim any outsider status against Connelly? As far as I see it, they’re BOTH outsiders.
About the Senate picks from the magazine, I’d leave Alaska and Colorado intact, but for God’s sakes take out VA, NH, and NM. I think it’s been clearly established for months that those are going to flip blue in November.
The only other races I see worthy being on the list from the Senate? Mississippi-B
We’re gonna flip THREE Districts in Ohio: Driehaus in OH-01, Kilroy in OH-15 and Boccieri in OH-16.
And talk about “if life gives you lemons, make lemonade” Rich Cordray is running for Ohio AG to replace the disgraced Marc Dann. (Remember, we elected our Gov in 2006 and one Senate seat in 2006, the next Senate seat doesn’t run until 2010)
Rich is proving so tough that the GOP can’t get ANYONE to run against him! (Seriously!) So at the top of the statewide ticket we have a sure fire, landslide winner. Rich is a true “rock star.” With the Strickland juggernaut behind him, not only will he win really BIG, by campaigning around the state, he can actually have some degree of “coattails.”
And the Ohio GOP still has a hangover from Noe-gate. He’s cooperating by filing an appeal of his (dead bang) convictions which is great because it gets the whole mess back in the press again. Love it.
As a result of all of this, several of the other U.S. House races will be close enough and contentious enough to keep the GOP on defense from border to border (almost– of course we have some unwinnable seats with worse than token candidates)