VA-11, OH-01: More Internal Polls

Lake Research Partners for Gerry Connolly (7/10-14, likely voters):

Gerry Connolly (D): 52

Keith Fimian (R): 21

(MoE: ±4.4%)

Public Opinion Strategies for Steve Chabot (6/30-7/2, likely voters):

Steve Driehaus (D): 37

Steve Chabot (R-inc.): 50

(MoE: ±4.9%)

Got the salt shaker ready? Hot on the heels of the laughable poll released yesterday in NJ-07 come a couple more internal polls from big House races where Democratic pickups are likely. Surprise surprise: each one shows the person who commissioned the poll up by a huge margin.

The Virginia poll isn’t that bizarre: it probably reflects that most people in the district know exactly who Gerry Connolly is, as he represents most of them as Fairfax County Supervisor and just got out of a headline-grabbing primary with another well-known local Dem, Leslie Byrne. And few know who Keith Fimian is (he’s never held office; he’s independently wealthy from his home inspection business). I don’t expect to see Connolly double-up on Fimian in November like here, but he’s gotta be seen as a clear favorite.

And I do note one area of weakness in OH-01: Steve Chabot, who has represented Cincinnati since 1994, is polling only right at the 50% danger mark in his own poll? Driehaus, who is a state representative (and thus familiar only to a portion of OH-01) can only go up from here, but Chabot may be near his ceiling. This one will be close (like almost every race for Chabot).

H/t JeremiahTheMessiah