SurveyUSA (8/2-4, likely voters):
Mary Jo Kilroy (D): 47
Steve Stivers (R): 44
Don Eckhart (I): 7
(MoE: ±4.2%)
A Benenson Strategy Group poll from May showed Kilroy leading Stivers by 47-37, so we at least know that Kilroy is awfully close to the 50% mark.
Judging by the crosstabs, independent Don Eckhart picks up support fairly equally across the board, but I would guess that many voters are merely parking their votes with an unknown option for now, and are instead truly undecided about their options. Eckhart’s previous claim to fame was an independent bid against Stivers for the state Senate four years ago, where he claimed 9% of the vote. Eckhart was endorsed by the Ohio Right to Life both then and now, so perhaps he might peel off a few wingnuts from the GOP’s right flank. Then again, 7% of pro-choice voters chose Eckhart in this poll…
SSP currently rates this race as a Tossup.
Kilroy still has her high name recognition from her ’06 run and has hardly stopped campaigning since then
I’m getting close to calling this lean-dem
but Kilroy will win this. At first, I though Kilroy would be be the Lois Murphy of 2008 but this district is lookin’ like it’ll be more Democratic than usual in 2008.
OH-15 has been in Republican hands since 1967.
Republicans will fight hard for this seat; but with Obama on the ticket in November, it’s all over for the GOP for this seat.
Stivers is just another GOP pawn, nothing special.
Kilroy took Pryce to the woodshed in 06 and Pryce threw the towel in and retired with all the other GOP disasters; before having to actually campaign, run on her record, and go through reality again in 08.
BAAAAHHHAAAAAAA GOP, run on your record and none of you would ever win a thing.
Good Luck Maryjo in November.
This seat leans Democrat.