Public Policy Polling (8/5-7, likely voters, 7/9-10):
Mark Udall (D): 47 (47)
Bob Schaffer (R): 41 (38)
Undecided: 12 (14)
(MoE: ±3.2%)
A slight tightening, but Udall still has the edge.
SSP currently rates this race as Lean Democratic.
Bonus findings: In a hypothetical 2010 matchup, Democratic Sen. Ken Salazar leads Tom Tancredo by 49-37, and Secretary of State (and CO-06 candidate) Mike Coffman by 46-38. In the Presidential race, Obama is holding onto a 48-44 lead over McCain.
I’d take that Salazar poll with a grain of salt. There are a lot of folks on the ground here who would like to see that SOB get his own Ned Lamont. I don’t know that anyone’s signed up for it yet, but if it happens, there will be a fight. And personally, I’ll vote Green before I ever vote for Ken Salazar again.
Someone want to remind this non-Coloradan why Ken Salazar seems to be such a focus of disdain again? Other than his open support for Joe Lieberman in 2006, which I consider as a temporary episode of insanity for a lot of other politicians?
Why is Udall having so much trouble getting some serious daylight between himself and Schaffer? Schaffer is a joke. I realize Colorado is evenly split, but given the taint Schaffer has, Udall should have something closer to 10 point lead, IMO.
for Feingold, and Blanche Lincoln is a moderate, popular two term incumbent who has a wide appeal among women voters, including the older more traditional women. But hte main thing is that she’s a two term incumbent, though neither time, I hate to say, has she excelled, but that’s becuase northwest Arkansas, bordering Missouri, is so conservative, and both Republicans have had the added of vantage of having it as there home turf, so they’ve won it easily. Not to mention AR-02, Little Rock, leans dem, but has a large solid conservative base in the suburbs the military base, and in parts of North Little Rock, (which is another city, Norht Little Rock), the other two districts though, are usually solid for her. But, the fact she only managed 56% against a discredited far right conservative like State Sen. Jim Holt last time around bothers me. His only campaign issue was illegal immigration and gay marriage, but I guess that has powerful appeal in the south. The only problem is she outspent him 7 million to 600,000 and only got 56% of the vote. On other hand, Kerry and the Gay marriage ban on the ballot that year were big drags for Democrats. Besides that Holt is very popular among AR wingnuts, while most cannot stand Huckabee who often allied himself with Arkansas Democrats for many of his goals and in maintaining a sane illegal immigrant policy, things which earned by respect and made him one the Republicans I liked. Now, with him term limited and gone and Lieutenant Governor Rockefeller dead, I fear that the Republican party there will be taken over by conservatives and that if they ever have any success, the results will not be pretty.
1 u.s house seat, one us senate seat, eight state hosue seats, two state senate seats.
jw