Come on, feel the noise.
EPIC-MRA (8/20-22, likely voters, 2/27-3/2 in parens):
Mark Schauer (D): 40 (40)
Tim Walberg (R-inc): 43 (50)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Some very nice movement for Schauer — or, to be more precise, a nice nosedive for Timmy Walberg. The spread isn’t too far off from a Schauer internal from earlier this year that showed Walberg trailing leading by three.
But wait, there’s more! A whopping 78% of voters feel that the nation is headed in the wrong direction, and an even higher 82% feel things in Michigan are pretty seriously on the wrong track. Bush’s unfavorables are at 61% and his job disapproval rating is at 73% in the 7th CD — a nice anchor to tie around Walberg’s neck. Walberg’s own job rating is quite dismal: 32% positive and 43% negative. McCain leads Obama by 43-39 in the district.
And now, for the fightin’ 9th. EPIC-MRA (8/21-23, likely voters):
Gary Peters (D): 36
Joe Knollenberg (R-inc): 43
Jack Kevorkian (I): 4
Adam Goodman (L): 5
(MoE: ±4.9%)
These numbers very closely resemble a DCCC poll from last November that showed crumb-bum Joe Knollenberg leading Gary Peters by 42-35, despite the wild card of having Jack Kevorkian (yes, that Jack Kevorkian) on the ballot.
The other numbers are good for Peters: 73% and 82% say that the U.S. and the state of Michigan is headed seriously in the wrong direction, and Bush’s job approval is at 71% negative. Knollenberg’s job rating, too, is in the dumps: 35-47. Obama holds a 43-39 lead in the district — a flip of the 7th’s results. After neutral biographies are read of both candidates, Peters propels to a 43-39 lead over Knollenberg.
These races are just heating up, and Peters has just gone up on the air with a pair of bio ads (see here and here). These two races are gonna blow up in short order.
Should win both these.
I was reasonably sure we’d win the 7th, but now I’m thinking the 9th is also in the tossup category.
It’s not:
It’s:
Cum on Feel Da Noize.
Apart from that, good post. 😉
BTW, WTF is Jack Kevorkian (!) doing in this race?!
Tim Walberg has already started television ads, but Schauer’s still waiting. Amidst all of this were Freedom’s Watch attacks against Schauer, the DCCC response, and Patriot Majority Midwest attacks on his anti-Head Start votes.
Taking out Walberg is fine with me. But he doesn’t incite the loathing that Joe Knollenberg does in me. Knollenberg definitely deserves to lose after his attack on Asians.
I would love nothing other than to have my home state of Michigan vote for Obama to make it blue for the presidency, and then have MI-07 and MI-09 flip to the Democratic column changing the delegation from a 9-6 GOP majority to a 8-7 DEM majority.
So even if my Wolverines are going to suck this year, at least come November 4th I can yell GO BLUE with these wins in Michigan to turn it majority blue.