AK-Sen, AK-AL: Begich, Berkowitz Looking Good in New Poll

Research 2000 for The Great Orange Satan (9/15-17, likely voters, 7/14-16 in parens):

Mark Begich (D): 50 (47)

Ted Stevens (R-inc): 44 (45)

(MoE: ±4%)

I never underestimate the ability of Republicans to rally around their own — especially in Alaska — but things are still looking good for Begich. How about the House race?

Ethan Berkowitz (D): 53 (51)

Don Young (R-inc): 39 (40)

(MoE: ±4%)

Looking even better. Kos also tested Berkowitz against Sean Parnell, and found that Berko held a 48-43 lead — a sharp contrast with other recent polls that indicated that Parnell would have an edge in a general election match-up.

But still, I want to extend a warm thank you to Sean Parnell and the Club for Growth for gingerly snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. A job well done, you nuts.

Bonus finding: In the Presidential race, McCain has a 55-38 lead over Obama.

23 thoughts on “AK-Sen, AK-AL: Begich, Berkowitz Looking Good in New Poll”

  3. A good question for Biden to ask Palin in the debate: “I’m supporting the full Democratic ticket in Delaware this year.  Are you supporting the full Republican ticket in Alaska?”

  4. About 60 percent of the states live in and around the city, and it is the home base of Begich and Berkowitz, so we might be doing a bit better than these results as the sample was only 48 percent Anchorage.  

    Once again, we can’t take either old geezer too lightly, and let’s hope Stevens does not get an acquittal or a hung jury.  

  5. I think Kos vastly undersampled republicans. The 2004 exit poll was 40R/40I/20D. This poll is about 30R/50I/20D. I know, I know weighting and party ID doesn’t always mean a lot but still… a quarter drop in Rs in 4 years is quite drastic.

    If you reconfigure the poll with the 2004 numbers, it comes out to Stevens 50 Begich 46.

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