Rasmussen (9/17, likely voters, 8/12 in parens):
Tom Allen (D): 42 (40)
Susan Collins (R-inc): 55 (55)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
We’ve all been waiting for something… anything… to happen here, but Allen has not been able to land many direct hits so far. Will the bomb ever drop?
And how are things going in Oklahoma? Rasmussen (9/11, likely voters, no trend lines):
Andrew Rice (D): 39
Jim Inhofe (R-inc): 55
(MoE: ±4.5%)
That seems about right, but I understand that there may be another poll of this race by a different outlet released soon.
And finally, Kentucky: Research 2000 for Daily Kos (9/15-17, likely voters, 7/28-30 in parens):
Bruce Lunsford (D): 37 (38)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc): 50 (49)
(MoE: ±4%)
No real movement, but Kos sees a glimmer of hope in that 16% of Democrats are undecided.
On that Kentucky poll, that Democrats were undersampled by about 9% and Republicans oversampled by about 6%. McConnell leads, no doubt, but i’d still put this at an upper single digit race between 7%-9%.
I dont get it. Allen is an excellent candidate. Collins is obviously too popular and that is that. I’m pretty much not expecting this seat to be a win for us, at all. Collins will win by a good 10-15%. Although, the massive DSCC ad buy that will definitely be responded with will do some harm so still, stay tuned.
Allen is well known in his own district, but probably not as much in Maine’s other district. If the congressman in the other district trying to help Allen get elected? A couple ads of him endorsing Allen may help in the 2nd district.