The Kitchens Group for Jim Harlan (9/18-21, likely voters, June in parens):
Jim Harlan (D): 31 (15)
Steve Scalise (R-inc): 42 (68)
Undecided: 26 (17)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
In the diaries, Sean Fitzpatrick alerted us to this poll, and we’ve dug up the numbers for all to see.
If there was ever a district in Louisiana that screams “off limits” to Democrats, it’s this one. Its voters defeated John Kerry by 43 points in 2004, and even the Goreacle was stomped here by 36 points four years earlier. A heavily white New Orleans-area district, Democrat Gilda Reed only scored 22.5% of the vote here in the special election to replace Bobby Jinal this May.
But Democrat Jim Harlan, a successful businessman and former D.C. policy whiz in his own right, is giving this one a go, and he’s bringing his own considerable personal resources to bear.
Knocking off Scalise may seem hopeless, but if he can pin the man down and drain some of the GOP’s resources, he’ll at least make the lives of Don Cazayoux, Paul Carmouche, and Don Cravins, Jr. easier.
The full polling memo is available below the fold.
This is a district that I think even David Duke carried in that infamous 1991 gubernatorial race.
is one of the reddest districts in the entire country, not just Louisiana.
That means we win about 320+ seats total. Ain’t gonna happen. This one is way too red.
Even Bill Sali could run in LA-01 and win in a landslide.