Rasmussen (9/23, likely voters, 9/18 in parens):
Kay Hagan (D): 48 (51)
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 45 (45)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
A slight fluctuation within the margin of error, but Hagan is holding onto her small lead. There’s a lot of time still left on the clock for unforeseen events to shake up this race, but as it stands now, Dole sure doesn’t look like a winning incumbent.
SSP rates this race as a Tossup.