Rasmussen (9/23, likely voters, 9/18 in parentheses)
Kay Hagan (D): 48 (51)
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 45 (45)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
I try not to single out particular pollsters for ridicule, but Rasmussen has had one mixed-up crazy week. Nevertheless, their newest poll of the North Carolina Senate race is very much in line with their poll last week of the same race, and other pollsters as well: Hagan is showing a small but sustained lead. Somewhat miraculously, both candidates have favorable ratings over 50%: Dole at 52% and Hagan at 51%.
This is the same sample that gave Obama a 49-47 lead. Obama’s organizing and advertising push in North Carolina seems to be paying off not just for him (as NC is starting to move into undeniable swing-state territory) but downticket as well.
Result incredible. I thought he could win North Carolina but he would never lead in a poll. The only way he could win the state was by changing the electorate, increasing African-American turnout and youth turnout, things that would not show up in a poll.
in NC-08. I think if Obama makes it within four in North Carolina, Kissell will win.
This is exciting. Due to the Electoral College, my vote for President has never counted.