OR-Sen: Merkley Posts Another Lead

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (9/22-24, likely voters):

Jeff Merkley (D): 45

Gordon Smith (R-inc): 40

(MoE: ±4%)

Check out the crosstabs: Merkley is romping among Democrats by a 79-6 margin. Clearly, El Gordo’s “bipartisan” campaign ads haven’t swayed too many Dems — or even Independents, who give Merkley a 43-41 lead. Both candidates don’t have especially high favorables (43-40 for Merkley, and 41-45 for Smith), but Obama’s top of the ticket strength seems to be trickling down. He leads John McSleepy by 53-39.

Earlier in the day, a SUSA poll showed Merkley with a two-point advantage.

28 thoughts on “OR-Sen: Merkley Posts Another Lead”

  1. Now we just need to win Minnesota, too, since the only other blue state Senate race this cycle (Maine) is unfortunately out of reach.

  3. Geesh, maybe we are going to be looking at taking Oregon up a little higher in the next Senate Cattle Call, especially given the closer numbers in Alaska and that damn outlier poll in NH from Rasmussen.  

  4. add that to the stack of places where we are ahead or basically within the margin of error. That now includes VA, NM, CO, NH, AK, OR, NC and MN. That’s eight races. VA and NM are the only ones that are not really being contested.

    We’re down by a bit in MS but I think once the DSCC starts running more ads we can add that one to the category. We’ve still got a longshot chance at KY, ME, GA and NE and to some extent OK and TX.

    But I’ll take this playing field. I think we’re very well poised to pickup 9 seats.

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