PA-03: Dahlkemper Posts Another Lead

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/6-8, likely voters):

Kathy Dahlkemper (D): 48

Phil English (R-inc): 41

Undecided: 9

(MoE: ±5)

Another brutal showing for Philly the Hutt. Remember, a recent SurveyUSA poll from late September had Dahlkemper ahead by 49-45. English’s favorable rating, at 39-45, says it all (Dahlkemper has a 49-28 rating).

With numbers this bad, it’s no surprise that the NRCC has made shoring up English priority number one in their independent expenditure shop. In a year like this, though, I’m not sure if money is gonna save him — especially with Barack Obama edging McCain by 48-46 in this culturally conservative R+1.6 district.

You can’t say that English has been caught off guard — he’s been very vocal about the danger he’s in for months, and has flooded the airwaves with ads since the early summer months in an effort to swamp out the poorly-funded Dahlkemper. You can’t dock English marks for effort, but nothing he’s been doing appears to be working at all.

7 thoughts on “PA-03: Dahlkemper Posts Another Lead”

  1. remaining airtime is available in Erie and Pittsburgh, with the Presidential candidates and the national committees spending their money.

    Rick Santorum spent a lot of money to lose this district, judging from the map. It also looks like Ed Rendell beat Lynn Swann here, but that’s harder to tell.  

Comments are closed.