SurveyUSA for Roll Call (10/13-14, likely voters, no trendlines):
Jim Himes (D): 48
Chrissy Shays (R-inc): 45
(MoE: ±4%)
Shays’s favorables: 43-32; Himes: 39-22. Shays has a small lead among independents, 46-42, but it’s not going to be enough. That’s because Obama leads McCain 59-37 in this district – in other words, Democrats are energized. (Remember, Kerry carried this district by just six points.)
This race is far from over, but I wouldn’t want to be in Shays’s shoes right now.
UPDATE: Crosstabs are available here.
He might be my favorite candidate this year. From what I’ve seen, he is unabashedly progressive. Connecticut residents – and all Americans – would be better served with him in the House.
I think this is the year we win.
And I think Himes is going to replace Corporate Joe in 2012.
Republicans need not compete here after Shays’ reign is put to rest.
With Gilcrest gone, Shays and Mary Bono are in competition for the least odious Republican House member. He always seems like a geniuinely nice guy but sets my gaydar off something fierce.