SurveyUSA (10/15-16, likely voters, 9/24-25 in parens):
David Boswell (D): 42 (43)
Brett Guthrie (R): 51 (49)
(MoE: ±4.2%)
This is one of those few races where the DCCC’s involvement has seemed to have done more harm than good. Just check out this recent Bowling Green Daily News editorial to see what I mean.
On the heels of this rough SUSA poll, Boswell has released his own internal poll. Garin Hart Yang (10/8-9, likely voters, 8/23-25 in parens):
David Boswell (D): 41 (40)
Brett Guthrie (R): 40 (33)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
It’s never a great sign when your own internals show the other guy with the big mo’.
Dems have bit more of a voter registration advantage – though if they are asking Party ID, SUSA could very well be right. AA crosstabs is a bit ridiculous unless Boswell said something to tick them off.
We were up big early in a very conservative district and untimately we lost big. This one has obviously slipped away.