Rasmussen (10/27, likely voters, 9/30 in parens):
Ronnie Musgrove (D): 43 (47)
Roger Wicker (R-inc): 54 (49)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Ugly, ugly numbers. Wicker takes 12% of the black vote, and a whopping 78% of the white vote (compared to 18% for Ronnie). Musgrove can’t win unless he takes 25% of the white vote, and that goal is looking like it’s slipping away.
Another recent poll has similar news:
USA Polling Group for the Mobile Press Register/University of South Alabama (10/13-23, likely voters):
Ronnie Musgrove (D): 32
Roger Wicker (R-inc): 45
(MoE: ±5%)
Rasmussen has been prone to putting out weirdly-gyrating polls in the past, and I’m completely unfamiliar with the USA Polling Group and its track record, but taken together, it’s hard to feel sanguine about this race.
for Musgrove.
Its like a star shining threw a gap in a thunderstorm. At least one race is moving our way in the Senate.
That’s starting to look like the ME-Sen race. Good thing we still have a shot in KY and GA. And NC and MN and OR…
The millions Feedom’s Crotch and NRSC have poured in worked.
Georgia is the key to 60. 60 without Corporate Joe isn’t looking likely.
Assuming for the sake of discussion that the polling is accurate, why is Musgrove slipping/Wicker gaining? This seems to be against the natinal trend in the presidential and senate and house races over the last month. Financial bailout vote? Advertising? Some local issue?
DSCC needs to pour in the money IMMEDIATELY. Obama will do much better in GA thna KY, and Chambliss is not a pork-barrel powerful as McConnell.
DSCC needs to put $2mm minimum, into GA
If so did Musgrove do poorly debating to cause part of this dip?
The recession has not hit all parts of the country yet. Yahoo News ran a map a few days back that showed the states where rising unemployment indicated a recession. (Arizona was conspicuous on the map, and we see in other polling how that is turning out.) Most of the Southern states east of the Mississippi River were also shown as in recession. (Texas not, Oklahoma not, so Cornyn still leads Noriega and Inhofe leads Rice.)
Mississippi was one of the states feeling pain. A few more days of bad economic news could still turn this race around.
had been worrying me first off. And then when I saw these, I wasn’t that surprised. This race hasn’t been going our way except for at the very beginning. There was like one rogue poll showing it close but just one.
I’d love to claim a seat in Mississippi but if we get this seat, I doubt we will need it then anyway with Martin and Lunsford. ::crosses fingers::