Take these polls with a grain of salt, considering that they were taken before Debra Medina was nailed for expressing 9/11 truther-esque sentiments in an interview with Glenn Beck. If Perry can scoop up enough votes from her hide, he could avoid a runoff, but that’s a big if.
Here’s the Texas-sized round-up:
Research 2000 for Daily Kos (2/8-10, likely voters):
Rick Perry (R-inc): 42
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 30
Debra Medina (R): 17
Undecided: 11Rick Perry (R-inc): 43
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 33
Undecided: 24Rick Perry (R-inc): 44
Debra Medina (R): 23
Undecided: 33Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 38
Debra Medina (R): 30
Undecided: 32
(MoE: ±4.9%)
General election match-ups:
Bill White (D): 42
Rick Perry (R-inc): 46
Undecided: 12Bill White (D): 41
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 47
Undecided: 12Bill White (D): 43
Debra Medina (R): 44
Undecided: 13
(MoE: ±4%)
Hamilton Campaigns (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R) for the Texas Credit Union League (1/3-4 & 6, likely voters):
Bill White (D): 51
Farouk Shami (D): 19
Felix Alvarado (D): 7
Undecided: 16Rick Perry (R-inc): 49
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 27
Debra Medina (R): 19
Undecided: 5
(MoE: ±4.9%)
University of Texas/Texas Tribune (2/1-7, likely voters):
Bill White (D): 50
Farouk Shami (D): 11
Someone Else: 9
Undecided: 30
(MoE: ±6%)Rick Perry (R-inc): 45
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 21
Debra Medina (R): 19
Undecided: 16
(MoE: ±5.1%)
General election match-ups:
Bill White (D): 35
Rick Perry (R-inc): 44
Someone Else: 8
Undecided: 12Bill White (D): 34
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 43
Someone Else: 9
Undecided: 14Bill White (D): 36
Debra Medina (R): 36
Someone Else: 8
Undecided: 21Farouk Shami (D): 25
Rick Perry (R-inc): 49
Someone Else: 15
Undecided: 14Farouk Shami (D): 23
Kay Bailey Hutchison (R): 49
Someone Else: 15
Undecided: 14Farouk Shami (D): 24
Debra Medina (R): 40
Someone Else: 14
Undecided: 22
(MoE: ±3.5%)
And, in the (increasingly unlikely) event of a special Senate election, U-T took a crack at that one, too:
John Sharp (D): 29
David Dewhurst (R): 15
Michael Williams (R): 3
Florence Shapiro (R): 2
Elizabeth Ames Jones (R): 2
Roger Williams (R): 1
Craig James (R): 1
Undecided: 47
(MoE: ±3.5%)
that doesn’t actually look too bad for Sharpe….the Republicans total up to less than him.
He’s practically the Texas (not to mention African-American) version of Mike Huckabee – beloved among social conservatives, but likable and telegenic enough to reach out to moderates. He’s also the choice of Jim DeMint and Newt Gingrich for this seat.
Is 18% for Hispanics accurate for a general election? I see that exit polls say 20 percent for the 2008 election and that extra few points could make a big difference.
I’ve heard White hasn’t spent a dime yet and he is polling 42-46 against Perry in the Reasearch 2000 poll! Nice! Even though a Hutchinson victory in the primary is looking nearly non-existent it is good to see her polling <50% against White.
http://www.texastribune.org/bl…
http://www.texastribune.org/bl…