• CO-Sen: 50% is a totally arbitrary mark in the Colorado caucus straw poll, and doesn’t mean anything from a legal perspective, but Andrew Romanoff’s total has fallen below the magic mark as ballots keep getting counted. Romanoff’s at 49.9% to Michael Bennet’s 41.9% with 20 precincts left to be counted, which, in the battle of perceptions, takes a tiny bit of shiny luster off his victory.
• IA-Gov: Actually, maybe the departure of Jonathan Narcisse from the Democratic gubernatorial primary isn’t the good news for Chet Culver that it originally seemed. The gadflyish Narcisse has decided to run as an independent instead, and if he a) gets on the ballot and b) gets any votes, it seems likelier they might come from Culver’s column than that of the GOP nominee (although he does talk a lot of shrinking government, so who knows).
• MD-Gov: Prince George’s Co. Exec Wayne Curry has occasionally flirted publicly with the idea of a challenge to Martin O’Malley in the Democratic gubernatorial primary, and he’s popping up with the idea again today. (O’Malley already faces a challenge from the right in the primary from former state Del. George Owings). Meanwhile, Dems are launching some pre-emptive salvos at possible GOP candidate Bob Ehrlich, accusing him of using employees at his law firm to do campaign work for him.
• NY-Gov, NY-Sen-B: Apparently there’s been some behind-the-scenes pressure on ex-Rep. Rick Lazio to get out of the GOP governor’s primary, where he’s aroused little enthusiasm despite having the field to himself for months, and into the Senate race instead — to clear the way for ostensibly prized recruit Steve Levy, the Suffolk Co. Exec who appears set to change parties and run as a Republican. Lazio says no way is he switching, though, assailing Levy as a liberal Democrat who called the stimulus package “manna from heaven.”
• AZ-03: The John McCain/J.D. Hayworth primary fight is turning into one of the main fracture lines in the primary further down the ballot to replace retiring GOP Rep. John Shadegg. Ex-state Sen. Jim Waring and Paradise Valley mayor Vernon Parker have both endorsed McCain, while former state Rep. Sam Crump backs Hayworth. Former state Sen. Pamela Gorman says she isn’t getting involved.
• GA-07: Looks like GOP state Rep. Clay Cox is sitting in the catbird’s seat, as far as replacing retiring Rep. John Linder. Not only did his main rival, state Sen. Don Balfour, drop out of the race (and out of politics altogether) yesterday, leaving Cox alone in the field, but now state Sen. David Shafer (who many initially expected to run to succeed Linder) gave Cox his endorsement.
• ID-01: This is terribly disappointing… ex-Rep. Bill Sali called a big press conference today, just before Idaho’s filing deadline, to announce something, hopefully another kamikaze run to get his House seat back. (Or why stop there? Why not a primary run against Mike Crapo?) Unfortunately, it was just to endorse state Rep. Raul Labrador in the primary.
• MA-09: Is Stephen Lynch opening himself up to a primary challenge? Despite meeting personally with President Obama, he says that he is “firmly a ‘no’ vote” on healthcare reform. Lynch has always received strong support from labor, but with unions whipping this vote with unusual fervor, perhaps things might change on that front. (D) Here’s one possible explanation for Lynch mugging for the cameras today… Lynch may be thinking about a challenge to Scott Brown in 2012; he sorta-deflected questions on that front.
• NC-08: Tim d’Annunzio, the self-funding Republican who gets treated as the frontrunner in the GOP field to challenge freshman Rep. Larry Kissell, just keeps on pulling hot-headed stunts that threaten his status as a credible candidate. D’Annunzio got into a physical confrontation with Republican state Rep. Justin Burr (no punching, just lots of poking) and then issued a press release attacking the state party chair, Tom Fetzer, for “coordinated personal attacks” in the wake of the incident.
• NY-24: Speaking of strategically-challenged “no” votes, it looks like the Working Families Party isn’t bluffing on its threats to cut loose Rep. Mike Arcuri. They’re actively recruiting a challenger to run against him on their own ballot line, and the SEIU is supportive of the effort.
• Fundraising: Here’s a really interesting chart, which plots the DW/Nominate scores (i.e. ideological position) of Congress members against what sectors of the economy their contributions come from. The results aren’t too surprising: motion pictures, professors, printing and publishing, public schools, and lawyers lean the most left (darned cultural elite!) and oil and gas, auto dealers, construction, energy production, and agriculture lean most right. Health care and real estate seem to be smack in the middle.
I’m really hoping to keep this seat. Mimick may be worthless in the house but as a senator he could help us with a lot of rules and parlimentary votes.
A union/WFP backed challenge from the left in the general election would just ensure that.
Narcisse supports the tea party candidate Dave Funk who is challenging Leonard Boswell for Congress. If Dems are voting for him they need to do their research.
Stupak might be a jackass and a schmuck, but at least I can kinda figure out where he’s coming from (even if the underlying reason doesn’t make much sense).
Arcuri is just being stupid, and his stupidity is going to cost him his seat. At least we won’t have to try to prop up his ass come redistricting…
That’s FORMER PG County Executive Wayne Curry.
…I find the white/black and DC/Baltimore jockeying in Maryland state politics really fascinating. (I find it really unlikely that Curry would actually primary O’Malley, but I haven’t lived in-state for a while and don’t have a sense of whether whether there’s any personal animus going on). I continue to think that Anthony Brown is the next occupant of Mikulski’s seat, just because he short-circuits things on that front.
After narrowly outraising its GOP counterpart in January, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee lost ground during the month of February, according to reports set to be filed with the Federal Election Commission.
The National Republican Senatorial Committee raised $4.6 million in February to the DSCC’s $4 million. The DSCC also banked about a million dollars less than the NRSC last month after spending $2.7 million. The Republican committee spent $2.2 million.
Those totals helped the NRSC cut into the DSCC’s cash on hand advantage. The Republican committee ended the month with $12.9 million in the bank while the Democratic committee had $14.3 million in cash on hand.
That’s a much closer margin than just five months ago when the DSCC reported a $5.1 million cash on hand lead over the NRSC at the end of September.
The DSCC continues to carry $417,000 in debt while the NRSC is debt free.
Why the hell can’t we do better than this?????
Walker-48%
Barret-42%
Neumann-46%
Barret-42%
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
Arcuri, you neither.
Haha, I typed “Lunch” by accident at first.
shows the value of primary challenges. No way he votes yes if Lawson were not all over him in the primary. I do hope Boyd wins the primary though, as there is little chance that Lawson (or just about any other Dem up there in the panhandle) could carry the seat.
The Idaho deadline was today. Did any Democrats file to run against Mike Crapo? His reelection bid obviously isn’t likely to be competitive, but surely the Idaho Democrats want somebody to run against him. It’s not a good thing for a party to leave races uncontested, since you never know when you’ll have a Scott Brown or Kay Hagan type of situation.
He’s a yes again. Got to admit he’s showing a lot of political courage for doing this: he’s going to be attacked relentlessly until November but he’s doing the right thing anyway. May not be the most politically wise thing to do but right now I’m proud he’s our nominee.
http://www.orlandosentinel.com…
Unlike Ellsworth I think this is unquestionably a gutsy decision. If she voted no she wouldn’t have to worry about being labeled a flip-flopper, but she is now opening herself up to more attacks.