Public Policy Polling (PDF) (2/24-27, Wisconsin voters, trendlines from 12/10-12/2010):
Herb Kohl (D-inc): 52 (51)
JB Van Hollen (R): 37 (38)
Undecided: 11 (11)Herb Kohl (D-inc): 49 (48)
Paul Ryan (R): 42 (42)
Undecided: 10 (11)Herb Kohl (D-inc): 51
Mark Neumann (R): 37
Undecided: 12Russ Feingold (D): 51 (52)
JB Van Hollen (R): 39 (41)
Undecided: 10 (7)Russ Feingold (D): 49 (50)
Paul Ryan (R): 42 (43)
Undecided: 9 (7)Russ Feingold (D): 50
Mark Neumann (R): 40
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±3.5%)
You might be sitting there thinking “Hey, didn’t I see these numbers before?” and, if so, you’re right… PPP polled Wisconsin’s 2012 Senate race in December when the specter of a Herb Kohl retirement seemed to be looming larger than now, and their new round of polling (obviously more focused on the standoff over collective bargaining rights and the prospect of recalling Scott Walker) finds very little has changed in that race amidst the rest of the state’s upheaval.
The most notable changes are that they’ve swapped in ex-Rep. (and 2010 GOP gubernatorial primary loser) Mark Neumann in place of Tommy Thompson, only to find he does no better than the other options… and they note a big drop in Paul Ryan’s favorables, in the period since his SOTU response (the place where Republican rising stars go to die), down to 36/35 from a previous 38/30. Herb Kohl’s approval is 50/30, while newbie Ron Johnson’s approval (32/28) is worse than the favorables of the guy he just beat, Russ Feingold (51/39). What a difference a little presidential-year-electorate makes!
been a very visible backer of Walker and his bill.
I think most would note is that there isn’t an appreciable difference between the numbers Kohl and Feingold post.
And looking at Ron Johnson’s numbers it further affirms what myself and others believe which is that Johnson ran as generic republican and won solely because of the environment.
senators who have been super secure in their seats since 1st winning his in 1986. He represents a purple state and has a pleasant personality, he is diligent hard working man and has tons of money to ward off potential foes. He won 67% in his last race in 2006.
He has near 100% name recognition plus the assets listed above and yet his high point is at 52%. My 1st thought is that if he runs, like Bob Casey in PA, he is very likely to win.
These numbers, however, look weaker then Feingold March 2009. So if there is a Ron Johson II out there. Some sort of generic GOP guy with a ton of money might take Kohl on in Nov 2012.
Either candidate will be fine with me. If Kohl retires and should Feingold decide to run again, I think Russ would win.
effort against the 8 eligible Republican Senators has begun.
http://thinkprogress.org/2011/…
Senator Glenn Grothman.