Aight, y’all … in less than month, voters will head back to the polls and decide which candidate best represents Louisiana values. Don Cazayoux’s campaign is putting the final touches on their sprint to the finish and they need our help to put them over the top. It’s time to get their message out and make sure all the voters know that Don will stand up for Louisiana families.
Don has promised to stand up for Louisiana’s middle class families by fighting to provide access to high quality, affordable health care, while at the same time making it easier for small businesses to provide health care to their employees. He’s also committed to keeping the lower tax rates for middle class families, so they can keep what they earn, and reinvest it right here in Louisiana.
CQ Quarterly called this race a “No Clear Favorite,” which is astonishing, as this district has been represented by a Republican for the last 30+ years. Even the Cook Political Report called a Cazayoux-Jenkins matchup “a perfect storm for Democrats”:
Insiders on both sides agree the nomination of the current favorites – moderate Democratic state Rep. Don Cazayoux and GOP newspaper publisher Woody Jenkins – would present something akin to a perfect storm for Democrats in the May 3rd special general election.
Cazayoux, much like neighboring Democratic Rep. Charlie Melancon did in 2004, could very plausibly take advantage of GOP disunity and use his rural background to cut into the heart of the district’s GOP base.
Folks, we can win this one. But we need to step it up. You can donate, or volunteer. In order to win this one, we all have to step it up.
Let’s set a goal of $10,000 from the netroots. Right now, Don’s raised $60,810 from 110 donors over at ActBlue.
Let’s make it $70,810 in 7 days. I know we can do that.
CQ Politics had this rated as a Toss up, then they moved it to Lean Republican, and they finally moved it back to toss up again.
Go Cayazoux!
Cazayoux is one of the best campaigners and best fundraisers in the Louisiana State House. Baton Rouge was trending Democratic before Katrina, and now I think we’re going to see that even more rapidly after the fact. In 2004, despite Bush winning the city with 53%, the Republican mayor was easily ousted, and in 2002 the city helped reelect Landrieu. I think Obama could get around 46% of the vote here with a large enough increase in the black voter registration, and a good turnout. Cazayoux is revitalizing the entire Democratic organization for the area. I’m hopeful here, especially if the DCCC gets off it’s but soon and dumps about 1.5 mil in negative ads against Jenkins, so that Cazayoux can run a very positive campaign run on the “fresh face” change image. Jenkins is just like Oberwies, controversial, and a multiple loser. Even worse he’s an “ancient face”, having been a big thing in politics since he was elected to the Louisiana State house in 1973. He hasn’t raised much money, and some Republicans I’ve talked to say he’s running a lazy campaign as well. With Baton Rouge proper, and the rural areas north and west of it, going for Cazayoux, I don’t see how they can win it.
This is going to help give the LA-DP a break that it veru much needed. Having nearly lost control of both state houses, lost three statewide offices, (not even managing to find a candidate to run against John Kennedy when he switched parties well before the filing deadline), and having failed to bring Louisiana in for the Presidential race twice in a row now, and the loss of the 2004 Senate seat, and John’s house seat.
Let’s see how much Jindal’s backing helps Jenkins.
http://www.2theadvocate.com/ne…