It looks like the GOP is seriously sweating the special election in Mississippi’s 1st congressional district. Hot on the heels of a $114K ad buy by the DCCC against GOP candidate Greg Davis, the NRCC has just made an $150K media buy against Democrat Travis Childers.
The new expenditure brings the GOP’s total in this R+10 district to $232,673.
Special election: 4/22; runoff (if necessary): 5/13.
Total:
DCCC – $406,123
NRCC – $322,194
DCCC Bet on LA-06 and MS-01
NRCC called our bet on LA-06 and MS-01
DCCC re-raised the bet on both LA-06 and MS-01
NRCC only called our raise on MS-01
Did they give up on LA-06? If they don’t respond soon, it may appear that way!
I’m really interested to see how much the RNCC spends by the end of this thing for the R+10 district. If the first election doesn’t go so well for them, it could be another 3 weeks of even more spending. Awesome.
Where do they draw the line?
Seats with a Democratic PVI? Chris Shays is running neck and neck in the money race with Jim Himes defending a D+5 district. Dan Maffei seems to be coasting in taking back a D+3 district. OTOH, Mark Kirk in a D+4 district has the money edge.
R+1 gives a lot of competitive districts this cycle: IL-11, NJ-7, OH-1, OH-15, and VA-11 come to mind. That’s throwing in the towel on five seats. (And there are others)
R+2 gives AZ-1, PA-3, MI-6, MI-7, and MI-8.
R+3 includes an open seat in NY-26, and targets like Tom Feeney (FL-24), Robon Hayes (NC-8) and Ric Keller (FL-8) among others.
Pulling back on a race like LA-6 may be very bad poker playing indeed.
Texas Hold ‘Em.
Woody Jenkins is the off-suit 7-2 of candidates. I hope the GOP goes all in.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/…
Madia has been put on the Red to Blue list. (Thumbs up)
And I thought we would have to help him fundraise. DCCC has it covered. Hopefully he beats Erik Paulson next time.
Total Raised — $362,445 v. $772,346
He’s been outfundraised by over $400,000
Cash On Hand – $190,538 v. $688,342
And Paulson has a cash on hand advantage of almost $500,000