TX-Sen: Cornyn in a Tight Race?

This seems too good to be true.  Rasmussen (5/1, likely voters):

Rick Noriega (D): 43

John Cornyn (R-inc): 47

(MoE: ±4%)

If this is anywhere near accurate, the results are shocking.  But if Noriega is to make a race of this, he’ll have to get his fundraising machine in gear: his war chest is only 4% of Cornyn’s $8.7 million on-hand.

(H/T: JLGarsh)

23 thoughts on “TX-Sen: Cornyn in a Tight Race?”

  2. I figured at this point in the race Cornyn would be up by 15-20.  I know Cornyn is unpopular, but still.  Hopefully Noriega picks up his fundraising.

    Same thing with the Presidential poll.  I’m not all that surprised Obama is close, but Hillary too?  

  3. I’d prefer to see another poll in addition to Rasmussen before I get too excited about this.  I’m not sure that I trust Ras to produce much in the way of an accurate result.  

    What are the chances that DSCC would come in big here?  )It seems that on his own Noreiga has limited resources.)  They’re got lots of bucks, and nearly every day I get a plea for yet another contribution.    

  4. Thing is, 43% or so is close to what standard national Democratic performance ought to be statewide in Texas this year.  That is approx. 1% per year national Democratic trend added to Kerry’s 2004 performance of 38%, which was probably 1-3% low.

  5. And Schumer even know.

    A. Noreiga is a good candidate with a good profile

    B. Cornyn is unpopular

    C. Cornyn is beatable

    D. Cornyn has a huge warchest

    E. Noreiga has fundraising problems.

    I still retain some hope that Noreiga will be able to raise 4 million by the end of the cycle and be helped out 2-4 million by the DSCC. Still, how could you be outraised by someone of the same party in a deep-red district 1/32th of your size? (Michael Skelly). Skelly really needs to give Noreiga some props and training and perhaps doner lists to the Noreiga campaign, and fast.

Comments are closed.