Stop me if you’re tired of hearing about good polls.
Rasmussen (5/14, likely voters, 4/8 in parens):
Tom Udall (D): 53 (54)
Steve Pearce (R): 37 (40)Tom Udall (D): 57 (56)
Heather Wilson (R): 36 (36)
(MoE: ±4%)
Not quite the 25-point romps we saw from SUSA yesterday, but romps nonetheless.
1 VA
2 NM
—-
3 NH
4 CO
—-
I put the extra line in between them. The top top tier = races I doubt the DSCC needs to spend any money in, (Likely Democratic) As of right now, it’s questionable whether we can say the same for New Hampshire or Colorado. But they are Lean Democratic still. So.
His top 10 most vulnerable are:
1.VA
2.NM
3.CO
4.NH
5.AK
6.LA – Dem Seat
7.MN
8.OR
9.NC
10.ME
His ranking make sense for the most part. I’d flip NH and CO though. NH is definately more vulnerable than CO as every poll has Shaheen with a big lead over Sununu.
I’d drop LA down a few sports as well, placing it at #9 after Oregon. Landrieu isn’t in THAT bad of shape.
Cillizza’s most idiotic comment was “State House Speaker Jeff Merkley has been one of the most disappointing candidates so far this cycle. Recruited into the race by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, Merkley has struggled to transition from state legislative politics to a U.S. Senate campaign.”
Uhh.. ya, I guess Merkley being such a poor candidate is why he’s only down 3 points and holding Smith to under 50%.
There, I said it.
I know I’m pulling this out of I-don’t-know-where, but I’m guessing the pollsters are going to reduce their frequency on the races that are safer than lean-Dem. Kinda makes sense for them to spend more effort on the more competitive races.
Not to say that I consider NM in the bag. But I don’t need to see any more head-to-heads until after the primary.
you should say in the title of the post that Udall drinks the Republicans’ milkshake. 😉