CA-04: Brown Leads Ose and McClintock in New Poll

Benenson Strategy Group for Charlie Brown (5/14-15, likely voters):

Charlie Brown (D): 38

Dough Ose (R): 34

Undecided: 27

Charlie Brown (D): 42

Tom McClintock (R): 40

Undecided: 18

(MoE: ±5%)

Ose and McClintock are giving each other an absolute shellacking over the airwaves, so these are some nice numbers for Brown. Also of note — on the generic congressional ballot, Democrats and Republicans are at a 43%-43% parity, with 15% undecided. Those are dramatic numbers from an R+10.9 district.

Here are a few select favorability ratings from the poll:





























McCain: 58/35
Obama: 57/34
McClintock: 39/29
Bush: 38/58
Brown: 36/18
Doolittle: 32/48
Ose: 27/28

It’ll be tough for Brown to get those few extra points that he needs to clinch a win here, but the numbers suggest that it’s certainly not impossible.

6 thoughts on “CA-04: Brown Leads Ose and McClintock in New Poll”

  1. meaning that we might have a slight advantage but we’ll need to work our butts off on these races.

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