Anzalone Liszt for Larry Kissell (6/8-14, likely voters):
Larry Kissell (D): 45
Robin Hayes (R-inc): 43
(MoE: ±4%)
Here’s some more bad news for Robin Hayes: On the generic ballot, Democrats now hold a 49-32 advantage in the district, up from 42-33 in May 2007. Hayes’ re-elects are at 43% against 39% who say they will vote for someone new. What’s more, Barack Obama has a 50-37 lead over John McCain in this R+3 district. With an African-American population of 28%, this is one district in particular where we can expect some serious presidential coattails.
Hayes realizes he’s in danger, as he’s already gone up on the airwaves with ads attacking Kissell over tax issues. This one definitely won’t be the under-the-radar race that it was in 2006.
according to rasmussen.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
So expect them to post a new poll on the Maine Senate race sometime today. My prediction is a high single digit Collins lead of around 6-8 points. Last poll had her up 10.
they dropped the ball last cycle by not putting kissell over the top and they are not about to REPEAT that mistake(hayes is GOING DOWN and the great thing is he will spend MILLIONS of his own fortune while he crashes and burns, those millions he is spending in the losing effort will help the depressed local economy)
If all of these polls are accurate and hold up into November, everyone may be underestimating the Demcratice wave by a lot.
I’m trying desperately to think of ways to prevent the Dems from screwing it all up once they get there 60 seat Senate, 350 EV president, and 275 seat House.
Arg! I’m getting way ahead of myself. But after Childers winning in a much more red district and starting out more behind I don’t see how we lose districts like this.
Hayes is one of the wealthiest members of Congress, so expect him to spend freely on this race. Of course, that didn’t help Charles Taylor (NC-11) in 2006. Hope we have the same result here.