Momentum Analysis for Kathy Dahlkemper (likely voters, 7/8-10):
Kathy Dahlkemper (D): 41
Phil English (R-inc): 40
Undecided: 19
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Wow. These are some stunning numbers, which I wouldn’t be surprised to see English attempt to refute with his only poll soon.
English has been airing ads touting his record well in advance of the general election, which shows that he acknowledges that he’s facing a real race this year — even against a political neophyte like Lake Erie Arboretum Director Kathy Dahlkemper. A staunch conservative occupying an R+1.6 district, English could be vulnerable in a strong year. Indeed, even against a fourth-tier candidate in Steven Porter last cycle, English only managed to score 54% of the vote.
With English holding a dismal 52% negative job approval rating, this is definitely a race to keep a close eye on.
This is what it is all about. Regular everyday people running for office and not having to be millionaires to be competitive in an election. I just tossed in $25 for her campaign and so should YOU!
The exact words out of my mouth when I just saw this. Well, given the nature of the poll you have to give English a few points but even then he is in trouble. More please.
To Leans Repub just a couple weeks ago. I was suspicious about moving the race that much in our favor, but it appears we was right.
Hopefully Dahlkemper had good Q2 fundraising because she current is behind by a lot in the money race, and even though the DCCC has a lot of money they also have a lot of races that they can win that need money.
from Crisitunity, any speculation on who might be tapped to fill the vacancy in Directorship of the Lake Erie Arboretum?
Kathy Dahlkemper won a much stronger primary victory than expected (most people didn’t expect her to win at all) – she won 45% of the vote in a 4 way race (with all 4 being serious candidates). She led the favored candidate, a local elected official, by 20%, led a prominent local labor lawyer by +25%. Not shabby for a first time candidate.
Maybe that kind of primary showing should have told us that she had potential as a candidate that many of us didn’t see. English is definitely beatable – and a poll like this should put the race on the radar for the DCCC and fundraisers.
(She won’t be getting an influx of cash from Emily’s list or other feminist sources, since she’s anti-choice.)
Another race for Tom Cole to spend money on — I wish I felt sorry for him!