Buncha statewide (sen & gov) polls that we haven’t gotten to yet around here at SSP, so we’ll fire them off all at once in abbreviated fashion (trendlines in parens):
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CO-Sen (Quinnipiac): Udall 44 (48), Schaffer 44 (38)
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CO-Sen (Rasmussen): Udall 47 (49), Schaffer 43 (40)
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MN-Sen (Quinnipiac): Coleman 53 (51), Franken 38 (41)
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MN-Sen (Rasmussen): Coleman 44 (42), Franken 43 (44)
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NC-Gov (Civitas): Perdue 43 (43), McCrory 40 (41)
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NC-Sen (Civitas): Dole 47 (48), Hagan 38 (38)
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NJ-Sen (Monmouth): Lautenberg 45, Zimmer 37
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VA-Sen (PPP): Warner 57 (59), Gilmore 32 (28)
All yours.
Quinnipiac two polls in a row has had Franken down by double digits, while Rasmussen for two polls in a row has had Franken about even. These huge differences are odd and I don’t know what to make of them.
As I see from recent trends most races are tightening up, Even Warners huge margins are beginning to tighten (his lead shrunk by 6%).
I don’t know how Schaffer is even still in the race, after all his scandals and bad coverage and gaffes compared to Udalls basically scandals and gaffless campaign. Hopefully though Udalls money advantage and adds once they are up will begin bringing this race safely home.
Rasmussen has been all over the map lately, but Q-pac is even more out there when compared to other pollsters (including on the presidential front, MN is NOT a 2 point race!)
WHat bugs me the most is it seems CNN is basing their electoral map completely around Quinnipiac’s findings and ignoring other polls.
sigh
With leaners included, Rasmussen has Franken up in the MN race 49-46, and Udall up by the exact same numbers in CO, 49-46.
NH-01 from Lean Dem to Toss Up
NV-03 from Lean Rep to Toss Up
except for the NC numbers barely.
Now they show the like of Schaffer exploding to even in CO and Coleman double digit in MN. I have to believe that they have not captured the proper D v R proportions in their sampling. Remember, it is Q that every four years comes out that the Republicans are near even in NJ and end up losing it by double digits! I never trust the Q polls.
Take a deep breath everyone! It’s July. If these polls came out in October, I’d be worried. But right now the only people paying attention to these races are people like us who read sites like this! Let’s see what happens come September when summer vacations are over, people actually start watching TV again (and therefore see the ads), and campaigns really swing into gear.