SurveyUSA (8/11-12, likely voters, 7/13-15 in parentheses):
Chris Gregoire (D-inc): 50 (49)
Dino Rossi (R): 48 (46)
(MoE: ±3.7%)
SurveyUSA (8/9-11, likely voters, 7/12-14 in parentheses):
Bev Perdue (D): 47 (47)
Pat McCrory (R): 44 (46)
Mike Munger (L): 5 (3)
(MoE: ±3.9%)
The nation’s two closest gubernatorial races continue to be, well, close according to SurveyUSA. In Washington, SurveyUSA’s numbers stay extremely consistent, with each side gaining a smidge of support, to the extent that only 2% of respondents remain undecided with more than two months to go. I doubt too many people have changed their minds since 2004. (The stability of this race is best seen graphed over at Pollster.com.)
One thing to bear in mind is that Rossi has been engaged in saturation advertising this month (there’s a freakin’ Rossi banner ad at the top of my screen no matter what site I’m looking at), in order to ramp up his numbers for the primary/beauty contest next week, while Gregoire has backed off a bit on advertising. Rossi, I’d imagine, is counting on getting some momentum out of a surprise squeaker victory in the Top 2 primary, possible since he has the more motivated supporters and there won’t be any Obama coattails next week. (As I mentioned in the comments a few days ago, the minor candidates in the primary are a particularly hapless lot this year, incapable of playing spoiler to either Rossi or Gregoire.)
As for the Tar Heel State, that looks very stable too. Here’s its Pollster.com graph. The main fluctuation seems to be right-leaners trying to decide whether to go with McCrory or Munger. (I suspect they’ll, as usual, go with the Republican, which why I’d bet this race winds up being a little closer than Washington in November.)
While I havent seen many offical Gregoire ads in the last week or so, there are alot of anti-Rossi third party ads still running on TV. So its not like Rossi is being unchallenged on the airwaves right now.
http://www.wral.com/news/state…
McCrory will spend $150,000 on ads over the next 10 days. His campaign says he is being forced onto the air to asnwer outside ads that were run against him.
We’ve had a long run in both states. I’m wondering if voters are getting tired of us on the state level.
into New Jersey in 2000, while Democrats did nothing because Corzine self-funded to the degree of 63 million dollars. If the national party had spent that money in Michigan and Washington, Gorton and Abrams would have gotten reelection, probably, they both only lost by 2-5 thousand votes out of millions cast, and both were pretty big upsets that not many were expecting. I don’t know how that would have helped them in 2006 though, I think both would have lost reeelection then.