Rasmussen (8/12, likely voters incl. leaners, 7/17 in parens):
Tom Allen (D): 40 (43)
Susan Collins (R-inc): 55 (53)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Sure, we would all prefer to see closer numbers here, but bigger gaps have been bridged in the past after Labor Day.
Is it time to stop worrying and love the bomb?
The DSCC is going to play a big factor late in many reces like this one. I’m surprised to see Collins lead double, but it’s very possible that we can make that up.
Allen really should be ahead by now, but this could be one of those “Races In Hiding” where the Democrat does not get ahead until Waaay after Labor day. An example is the 2006 VA Senate race where Then-Senator George Allen(no relation) was far ahead of Now-Senator Jim Webb in the polls, with the exception of three of webb’s internals, until after Allen’s little mistake and even after that he was ahead. That was until October polls had Webb new leads varying from 1-5 points, after that Webb’s leads were stable, with the exception of being tied at one point then on election day, Webb won by 0.6%.
It doesn’t seem these attempts to portray Susan Collins as linked to George Bush and only pretending to be a moderate has worked at all. There are only 3 months away so there’s still time to change these numbers.
By the way, did anyone see Collins on the August 13th WJBQ Morning Show making fun of John Edwards regarding his infidelity? Classy way to act, Senator.
Well they always make the statement that no one pays attention until after Labor Day. It appears time is running out on that excuse, so I am hopeful that next month in mid-September something is different. Otherwise, Collins will win this one by double digits like 56-44.