Ruh-roh. SurveyUSA (9/24-25, likely voters):
Alice Kryzan (D): 37
Chris Lee (R): 48
Jon Powers (WF): 5
Anthony Fumerelle (IP): 3
Undecided: 7
(MoE: ±4.1%)
Fumerelle won’t be on the ballot in November — he was nominated for a judgeship and his line was given to Lee. Powers takes 5% of the vote — not an insignificant number. It’s pretty disappointing that he’s chosen to remain mum rather than endorse the Democratic nominee here.
An earlier DCCC/EMILY’s List poll showed Kryzan leading by a full 10 points, but that poll pegged the partisan breakdown of the district as 33% Dem, 32% GOP. SUSA finds something different: 46% GOP and 34% Dem. According to the the most recent statistics, Republicans have a 37,000-strong voter registration edge in the district.
SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican.
(H/T: The Albany Project)
“It’s pretty disappointing that he’s chosen to remain mum rather than endorse the Democratic nominee here.”
You’re a hellava lot more diplomatic about this than I’d be.