NM-02: Teague Leads Tinsley by 5

Hamilton Campaigns for Harry Teague (9/2-5, registered voters):

Harry Teague (D): 46

Ed Tinsley (R): 41

Undecided: 13

(MoE: ±4.4%)

Fresh off the wire. Note that this poll is of registered voters and is a few weeks old, but it does suggest that this race is wide open. In the previous round of internal polling for Teague, Tinsley was ahead by three points.

At a PVI of R+5.7, this district is filled with many conservative Democrats who are used to pulling the lever for Republicans like Steve Pearce, but Teague’s profile as an oilman with conservative tendencies is helping to put this open seat race in play.

UPDATE: The full polling memo is available below the fold, and it contains some nice movement for Teague’s favorable/unfavorable rating.

6 thoughts on “NM-02: Teague Leads Tinsley by 5”

  1. Not too many undecideds and Teague hovering close to 50%.

    I had my doubts but this is looking like a real race. Mmm a 15-20 seat Dem pickup gets a little more realistic each day.

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