Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for the DCCC (9/30-10/1, likely voters):
Mary Jo Kilroy (D): 44
Steve Stivers (R): 36
Don Eckhart (I): 7
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Impressive numbers from a reputable pollster. You’ll recall that Stivers, a state senator and veteran, was one of the NRCC’s most highly-prized recruits. However, this is the second poll in a row to give Kilroy the lead (SurveyUSA had Kilroy up by 47-42 last month). Perhaps his career as a banking lobbyist isn’t the right profile in these troubled times.
If Stivers and the NRCC have better numbers than these, I invite them to share their polls. I don’t think we’ve seen a Republican internal poll of this race in some time.
Both OH-15 (Now D+8) and OH-16 (now D+10) are shown as Tossups in the SSP ratings. Time to upgrade to lean Dem?
In Ohio, the “toss-ups” are in OH-01 or in OH-02.