MD-01: Kratovil Edges Ahead in New Internal Poll

Garin Hart Yang for Frank Kratovil (10/7-8, likely voters, 4/23-24 in parens):

Frank Kratovil (D): 43 (34)

Andy Harris (R): 41 (43)

Undecided: 16 (23)

(MoE: ±5)

The last poll we saw from this open seat race, a DCCC internal from Grove Insight, had the race tied at 36-36 — a result fueled in part by outgoing GOP Rep. Wayne Gilchrest’s endorsement of Kratovil in early September. Since then, the DCCC has come in with over $630,000 in expenditures against Harris.

While the Harris campaign predictably is scoffing at these numbers, it seems telling that we haven’t seen a GOP-sponsored poll of this race since July. So in response to two promising polling results for Kratovil in a row, will they now put out some of their own numbers?

UPDATE: The full polling memo is available below the fold.

8 thoughts on “MD-01: Kratovil Edges Ahead in New Internal Poll”

  1. This is still Leans R though.  Of the 16% undecided, we would need 7%+1 to win.  Hard to imagine in this district.  Hopefully the fire continues to burn /w Kratovil and the DCCC here and Harris melts away.  

  2. Harris is, to put in mildly, nuts. Some of the stuff he has on his website is straight out of WND.

    Propping up Kratovil and Gilcrest’s endorsement will only go so far. The Dems must Sali this guy.

  3. One for the B’More county burbs, which I assume are something like the Philly burbs, and one for the eastern shore, which is something like Virginia and downstate Delaware.

    A tall order, and this district was drawn to be as GOP as possible. But it would sure be satisfying to keep that creep Harris from getting this seat.

  4. This district once included all of the Eastern Shore as well as much of Southern Maryland(Charles County, St.Mary’s, Calvert) which gave Democrats a good base in the district(they held it from 1980 to 1990).  Now, those areas are in Steny Hoyer’s district and were replaced with rapidly Republican suburbs around Annapolis and also Harford and Baltimore counties that Democrats wanted to keep out of MD-02 and MD-03.  

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