Anzalone Liszt for Debbie Halvorson (10/10-13, likely voters, 9/14-16 in parens):
Debbie Halvorson (D): 48 (43)
Marty Ozinga (R): 29 (35)
Jason Wallace (G): 5 (6)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
That’s some big mo’ for Halvorson. It appears that the general landscape has shifted in the Dems’ favor in the wake of the financial crisis. On the generic ballot, Democrats have gone from a two-point disadvantage (38-40) to a two-point lead (38-36), and Obama has pulled ahead by two points (43-41) after trailing McCain by five here in September. Those aren’t powerhouse numbers, but keep in mind that Bush beat Kerry by 53-46 here, so that’s a big improvement.
Halvorson’s favorable rating: 40-42. Ozinga’s? 27-32.
The full polling memo is available below the fold.
I generally dont put any stock into any internal polling done by anyone running for office, but I wouldnt doubt these numbers are fairly true. Obama’s coattails combined with the stupid decision on the IL GOP’s part to pick a nominee with ethics questions should make this an easy pick up for the Dems.
is a rat without a chance here
Marty Ozinga loaned his campaign $320,000. If this poll is anywhere close to accurate, he should get his money back rather than spending it on a final 30 second ad.
Wouldn’t be surprised to see a few other rats getting their cash back before election day.