IL-10: Seals Surges Ahead in New Poll



“Raaaaaaaaaahm!”

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/20-22, likely voters, 9/30-10/1 in parens):

Dan Seals (D): 49 (38)

Mark “Tiberius” Kirk (R-inc): 43 (44)

Undecided: 7 (16)

(MoE: ±5%)

You got that, folks? It’s a shame that Mark Kirk has lost all of his credibility when it comes to disputing poll numbers — recall that he kvetched like a little kid when Daily Kos showed him leading Seals by six. When SurveyUSA turned around and released a poll showing Seals leading by eight, suddenly Kirk’s press flacks were praising the virtues of the Daily Kos/R2K poll. Pathetic.

Let’s look at the movement: Kirk’s favorable rating is taking a dive, currently sitting at 41-47 (down from 45-40). Seals has increased his lead among Dems from 70-12 to 83-10, and has taken a 51-42 lead among Independents. In the previous poll, Kirk had lead among these voters by a 45-34 margin.

While it’s worth noting that a recent Dem poll for Progress Illinois showed Kirk up by six, the incumbent has been well under 50% in every poll released this month. Seals has Kirk on the ropes, and could be poised to deliver a knockout blow on election day.

5 thoughts on “IL-10: Seals Surges Ahead in New Poll”

  1. Mark Kirk is advertising on Air America Radio in Chicago.  I’m not kidding.

    Peter Roskam (R-NW suburbs) is inundating the airwaves on other radio stations, which means he might be in more trouble than anyone expected.  His commercials are bizarre and stupid, very Ayersish.

    Judy Biggert (R-Western suburbs) is also advertising on Chicago radio stations in what is normally a safe district.

    And Barack Obama is inundating the airwaves as well, not because Illinois is in danger, but because residents of Northwest Indiana listen to Chicago radio.  I have yet to hear a McCain commercial although I read he is buying time.

    Shalom,

    ZWrite

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