Nothing big here, just want to point out that Charlie Cook has his 2010 ratings up already.
(I wanted to make this a quick hit, but couldn’t figure out how.)
37 thoughts on “Cook has 2010 ratings up”
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Nothing big here, just want to point out that Charlie Cook has his 2010 ratings up already.
(I wanted to make this a quick hit, but couldn’t figure out how.)
Comments are closed.
Or can someone post them here?
http://www.cookpolitical.com/c…
No Dem worse than “Likely D”, Martinez, Bunning, Vitter “Tossup”, Specter “Leans R”, the rest “Likely” or “Solid R”.
Republicans have nobody to run in either of these races. They should be lean Dem.
I like Cook, and I know he’s got his reasons why he placed certain races the way he did, but…
(1)North Carolina is not solidly behind Burr. In fact, Burr may be as unpopular as Dole. This has “tossup” potential.
(2) Ohio’s race will be much closer than in 2004. I would place this in the “lean category”.
(3)Missouri has the potential to be close, too. Not that long ago in a survey Kit Bond was not doing well against some potential matchups. I saw this on wikipedia.
(4) Colorado may be a “lean” instead of “likely”. Although Colorado has become more blue, I don’t know if Salazar will be a shoo-in for this race.
(5) Iowa’s race really depends on Grassley returning to the senate. I doubt he’s enjoying the fact that he’s in the minority party. If Grassley runs, Iowa is safe. If not, Iowa has the potential to switch to the Dems.
Overall, Cook’s done a good job. Just too early to really know how these races will turn out.
I don’t pay much attention to them until about 6 months prior to election day.
Chris Cilizza has his first comments on the 2010 Senate races over at the Washington Post site.
2010 has started before 2008’s races closed (CNN lists 5 House and 3 Senate races as still undedcided). What does Perriello have to do to get listed as a winner in VA-5? No otes have been posted since November 10 for the two main candidates (IIRC some write-ins were posted on Nov.11).
I draft Tim McGraw
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T…
He’s known to be a Democrat, from Tennessee, has an acknowledged interest in running for office some day, is a country music legend, has supermodel good looks, and would have the best looking wife of any Governor in the country (by far!) in Faith Hill.
Dem Seats:
Likely D
CA-Boxer
CO-Salazar
NV-Reid
ND-Dorgan
WA-Murray
WI-Feingold
HI-Inouye
Rep Seats:
Tossup
KY-Bunning
FL-Martinez
NC-Burr
OH-Voinovich – He will get primaried if he even runs
Lean R
LA-Vitter
KS-Open
PA-Specter – Probably will get primaried if he runs
OK-Coburn
AZ-McCain
NH-Gregg
Likely R
IA-Grassley – Placed here due to liklihood of retirement
MO-Bond
appointing a specter, mccain, or gregg to something to open up a democratic leaning seat and burnish his bipartisan cred, but how about grassley? i know nothing about him, but does he have any thoughtful, if not progressive positions.
vilsack could win a competitive open race (mark warner of ia?) but an appointment is oh so much better!