Quinnipiac (11/13-17, registered voters):
Jon Corzine (D-inc): 42
Christopher Christie (R): 36
(MoE: ±2.2%)
Oh no!!! Look how close the New Jersey governor’s race is! I sure hope the Republican Governors’ Association doesn’t pour millions and millions of dollars into this race in order to push their super-strong candidate over the finish line! [/wink]
In all seriousness, Chris Christie, the U.S. Attorney for New Jersey, would be a good recruit for the Republicans (he isn’t an announced candidate, but is widely mentioned as the leading GOP contender); Christie has made a name for himself in local media by cutting a swath through corrupt Jersey politicians from both sides of the aisle. Coupled with mediocre favorables for Corzine (43 approve/46 disapprove in the same sample, with 51% saying he does not deserve to be re-elected), this might give Democrats some pause… except in the context of how verbose New Jerseyites are in expressing their contempt for their elected officials, and the rate at which New Jersey Democratic officeholders tend to overperform their early polls, those numbers put Corzine on track toward a convincing victory next year.
In that case he’s up about 10. New Jersey polls always understate actual Democratic support.
CNN has called MO for McCain. No surprise. That makes the final EV score 365 to 173.
I know this is O/T, but I have to break the news here!
http://clintonistasforobama.bl…
Now I don’t want to become overconfident in expecting victory in the court, but I do take this as a good sign that the judges have doubts regarding the legality of 8. Let’s hope that they come through for us again… And now’s a good time to make that holiday gift to the ACLU! 🙂
He launched frivolous investigations against Menendez in order to influence the 2006 election. He’s not a reformer, he’s a partisan hack.
I doubt Christie even runs.
More worried about VA-Gov, if McAuliffe steamrolls his way in this could become a tossup, whereas if Deeds or Moran is the nominee we’re probably favored.
Chris Christie…that’s a really cool name!
Yeah, I know New Jersey has a history of reelecting Democratic incumbents who poll poorly – but nonetheless 42 is a terribly number for an incumbent. I wouldn’t consider him as safe as some of you do.
How about something for Corzine so Dick Codey can win in a walkover?