GA-Sen: Predictions Thread

38 thoughts on “GA-Sen: Predictions Thread”

1. Saxby Shameless 53.5%, Jim Martin 46.5%.

2. Chambliss 49.7%, Martin 50.3%. If the ground game of Martin, combined with the Obama groundtroops are effective, n ot to the level of the general election, but close, he will win in a squeaker. It’s going to come down to Dekalb & Fulton counties for Martin, both democratic strongholds.

3. Chambliss 51.5, Martin 48.5.

   And one vote for the Lizard People.

4. Chambliss 52%, Martin 48%

5. Saxby Chambliss: 54.6
   
   Jim Martin: 45.4

   Hope I’m wrong…by a lot.

   Saxby is awful.

6. If Chambliss wins, it’s 51.2-48.8
   
   If (by the Grace of God) Martin prevails it’s 50.2-49.8

7. 46.2% – Martin
   
   53.8% – Chambliss

8. Low turnout and anemic black turnout seal the deal.  

9. Saxby 55.3, Martin 44.7.

10. 54.5 aroundabouts.

11. Chambliss will have an early high lead and you’ll see Martin closing in nonetheless Chambliss will win 51.9% to Martins 47.9 %

12. Martin: 45.2%
    
    Saxsby: 54.5%

    Super low turnout dooms a decent man and benefits a scumbag of the lowest form.

13. Chambliss – 54.8
    
    Martin – 45.2

14. in a comfy chair, donating platlets, (which takes  an hour and a half), and typing with one hand, but I’m here. Baring some of Republican crushing upset, I’m going with chambliss 53-47.

15. Chambliss 55% to Martin’s 45%. Too bad.

16. I said from a very early point in the presidential campaign that I saw two viable scenarios: a very close McCain win, or an Obama landslide.

    There were no other outcomes I saw as realistic.

    The same here. I think either Martin will win it by less than 1%, or Chambliss will win by more than 10. My gut, which I pray is wrong, tells me it is the latter.

    Chambliss 56%, Martin 44%

17. Chambliss 51.3%
    
    Martin 48.7%

18. than most are guessing, but will fall just shy.
    
    Chambliss 50.2 Martin 49.8

19. Few things:

    1. Early vote numbers are misleading, as the Obama campaign simply over-emphasized the early vote in every state.

    2. The Martin campaign did NOT emphasize early voting. Whether this was smart is certainly up for discussion, but understand that under most circumstances, early voting tends to lean more Republican.

    3. Has anyone heard anything from the Chambliss campaign about what they think? I’m well aware that morale matters among the campaigns, but Chambliss’s (apparant) silence makes me feel weird.

    Now then, with all that said, I’m still expecting Chambliss to win, but only just barely: 51.2% to Martin’s 48.8%.

20. Georgia, PLEASE prove me wrong in my pick of Chambliss to win!

21. Chambliss 50
    
    Martin 50

22. I figure if I make the most pessimistic prediction possible I minimise my losses – if it’s a slaughter I at least get bragging rights.

    Sad to say, I don’t have the confidence of others that Martin could draw an inside straight. It could be close, but I doubt he wins it.

23. chambliss 54.1
    
    martin 45.9

24. Chambliss — 55.6%
    
    Martin — 44.4%

25. I predict 50-50 tie with the election requiring a recount, a court fight over absentee and provisional ballots, and the Senate picking the eventual winner if the Supremes don’t intervene.
    
    You thought Minnesota was fun, wait till you see this.
    
    Or maybe not.
    
    ABowers

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