Yes, tomorrow is Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, but it’s also the filing deadline for the IL-05 special election to replace Rahm Emanuel, and the IL Board of Elections will be open to receive nominating petitions. That’ll finally give us some clarity on the Democratic field. The special primary, by the way is March 3rd. The general is on April 7th, but that will almost surely be a formality – Kerry won this district 67-33, and Obama 73-26.
Also, one of the candidates running released an internal poll for the Dem primary. Anzalone-Liszt for Mike Quigley (1/8-13, likely voters, no trendlines)
Mike Quigley: 19%
Sara Feigenholtz: 11%
John Fritchey: 8%
Justin Oberman: 2%
Cary Capparelli: 1%
Jan Donatelli: 1%
(MoE: ±4.4%)
You can find a run-down of these names at Wikipedia. One big difficulty with this poll is that it didn’t include labor lawyer & netroots fave Tom Geoghegan, who declared shortly before this poll went into the field. So I’m not really sure what to make of these numbers.
I wouldn’t be surprised if we see more polling once the field is set. But like almost all specials, this one will likely be a bear to survey accurately.
somehow catapults him into the lead in what is most likely a name recognition poll. Quigley and Feigenholtz being the top two makes sense to me.
but I’ve got friends working for her, Geoghegan and Quigley so I’m not really too passionate about the outcome.
Anybody with an elected office has an advantage – they have a turnout organisation. Anybody with an elected office that isn’t geographically congruent with anybody else’s has a double advantage.
Geoghegan would be formidable in a normal primary, but unless he can add a full set of labour endorsements and a lot of paid ground staff to his assets, I don’t see his wider fundraising chops as a determining factor.
Who is Marting Luther King, Jr?
Kos! We need an R2K poll of this race!
They probably are; I doubt the GOP would waste the time here.
1. Is it first past the post or is there a later runoff if no one topes 50%?
2. I assume Rahm has not endorsed anyone; will he do so? If not officially, will he give a wink and a nudge to his supporters? Any idea who he favors?
I wonder who the moderates are in the primary. If the liberals split the vote i could see a moderate getting through. I know theres a significant working class Catholic vote in this district. But I would venture to guess theyd receive a good primary in 2010 should they go on to win the GE (which is a 99% certainty. Jefferson’s loss showed us it cant be 100% but cmon lets be realistic).