SSP Daily Digest: 6/5

NY-Sen-B: The speculation about a primary challenge had in the last month mostly shifted over from Rep. Carolyn McCarthy to Rep. Steve Israel and now Rep. Carolyn Maloney, but in case there was still any doubt, McCarthy made it official yesterday that she won’t be challenging Kirsten Gillibrand in the Senate primary. Is this another tea leaf that Maloney is, in fact, running? (McCarthy said she’d stand down if someone younger ran, and although it may not be what McCarthy had in mind, Maloney, at 60, is 4 years younger.) Maloney did confirm her phone chat with Joe Biden, but said he didn’t try to push her out of the race. Meanwhile, Gillibrand got two endorsements that are important in the African-American community: Al Sharpton and Rep. Greg Meeks. (All three are key David Paterson allies, so perhaps not too surprising.)

NC-Sen: Elaine Marshall, who’s been Secretary of State since 1996, hasn’t been the subject of much Senate speculation. However, she just publicly expressed her interest (while saying that she’s not actively testing the waters). Marshall ran for Senate once before, finishing third in the 2002 Democratic primary behind Erskine Bowles and Dan Blue.

CO-Gov: Bill Ritter may be facing a tough re-election bid, so the last thing he needs to be doing is turning friends into enemies… so it’s strange to see him so frequently ticking off labor, most recently the firefighters’ union by vetoing a bill that would have given them collective bargaining rights. And on top of that, he’s a terrorist sympathizer… at least according to Rep. Mike Coffman, who doesn’t like that Ritter blocked expansion of a local Army training site.

OR-Gov: Although he’s been reluctant to show any interest in the race, don’t fully rule out Rep. Peter DeFazio yet. Hot on the heels of ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber having his coming-back-out party in front of the state movers-and-shakers at Portland’s City Club, now DeFazio will have his turn addressing them in two weeks. Hmmm… after several months worrying that neither DeFazio nor Kitzhaber would get into the race, now I’m left wondering what happens if both of them get in?

VT-Gov: Democrats have seemed lukewarm about taking on Gov. Jim Douglas the last few cycles, but there seems to be more optimism this time, and it’s attracting more contenders. State Senator Susan Bartlett (who chairs Appropriations) announced her candidacy, joining ex-Lt. Gov. Doug Racine and possibly SoS Deb Markowitz. One item of note that Steve catches: Douglas, who’s been in office since Howard Dean’s 2002 retirement, hasn’t yet announced that he’s running for re-election. There may be a growing sense that the seat could be open.

VA-St. House: Josh Grossman from Progressive Punch, guest blogging at 538, takes an interesting look at Democratic chances for flipping Virginia’s House of Delegates in the 2009 election (the last one prior to Virginia redistricting). It includes a nice chart ranking the swing districts according to 2008 presidential percentage… although it’s dismaying to see how many don’t have a Democratic candidate yet.

WA-Wahkiakum County Clerk: A never-before-elected retired musician by the name of Krist Novoselic has filed to run for the position of county clerk in Wahkiakum County (approx. population 4,000) in the fall 2009 election. Although he’s been involved in Democratic Party politics as a committeman, he’s running as “prefers Grange Party” rather than as a Dem, probably because of his appreciation of the Grange, a populist movement from the turn of the previous century (or else he just misspelled “Grunge Party”).

27 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 6/5”

  1. Self-proclaimed Bush Democrat Vernon Jones (former CEO of DeKalb County and loser of the 2008 Democratic Senatorial primary) has expressed interest.  Gag.  http://blogs.ajc.com/political

    Also on the Democratic side, Ray City (population: 746!) Mayor Carl Camon is in: http://www.valdostadailytimes….

    Interestingly, both Camon and Jones are black, which may not be helpful to Thurbert Baker (although I for one suspect Baker’s support with the black electorate is overstated).  Also, apparently Ray City is 75% WHITE.  If Camon represented a larger majority white city (say: Sandy Springs), that would be really impressive.

  2. So, what with the recent “removal” of Huntsman, Leach, and McHugh (and before these, LaHood), anyone have a hunch as to whether Obama would try to get Lincoln Chafee appointed to something, or whether he’d be interested?

    (Yes, I know he’s not technically a Republican anymore.)

    Though, I don’t live in Rhode Island, and I’m not too familiar with Chafee, but I kinda do like his style and wouldn’t mind (personally) if he won the governorship.

  3. From Public Policy Polling in March:

    In a hypothetical contest with Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, Burr leads 43-35. Despite running for the Senate in 2002 and serving in statewide office for over ten years, a majority of North Carolina voters don’t know enough about her to hold a positive or negative opinion. Among those who do, 28% say they view her favorably with 19% holding an unfavorable view of her.

    PPP also tested Marshall against Dole two years ago and found her trailing 46-35.

  4. I didn’t realize it until today, but we have a candidate here by the name of Jim Nichols.  

    This is one of those districts that seems to be a ticking timebomb for the Republicans.  It’s smack dab in the middle of Henry County (centered on McDonough).  Estimates from the 2000 census put the district at about 17-18% black and Hispanic, but I would imagine that’s increased.  Plus, this is a middle-ring suburban district, so there is some urbanization happening.  Henry County saw it’s Democratic performance rapidly increase.  I think we may have a chance here.

  5. Stu Rothenberg put his out again (and despite his useless commentary, his rankings are usually pretty good).

    He continues to make rankings that are outside of the pundit consensus but ones that I can agree with.  For instance, he sees Florida as leaning towards a Dem pickup, despite the polls that put McCollum a couple points ahead, and the general sense of toss-up-ness of the race.  He also sees us having a clear advantage in New York, despite the miserable polls on Paterson.  They keep testing him against Rudy but I’d be surprised if he ran.

  6. I will say, we have a lot of theoretically good candidates running this cycle. I’ve been looking through the fundraising reports, and I’ve been surprised to see how many Democratic challengers are raising some serious cash this cycle.

  7. Nirvana’s blasphemous ‘Heart Shaped Box’ music video might come back to haunt Novoselic but possibly not in this town, if its anything like WA state as a whole (quite secular and culturally liberal).

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