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SSP Daily Digest: 8/10

by: Crisitunity

Mon Aug 10, 2009 at 1:26 PM EDT


CT-Sen: Moneybomb! Economist Peter Schiff, favorite of the Paulist set, is considering running in the Connecticut Senate race in 2010, and has already raised $800,000 toward his bid. More than $300,000 came from 4,800 online donations over the weekend as part of a coordinated money bomb.

IL-Sen: Like the party guest who just won't get the message it's time to go home, Roland Burris is suggesting that he might still "change his mind" about his decision not to run for a full term in the Senate. Maybe he sees more of an opening with the increasing likelihood that Chris Kennedy won't run? (Seems like the opposite would be true, though -- he'd need multiple top-tier candidates to split the vote in order to sneak through.)

NV-Sen: Republicans continue to search for a top-tier challenger to Harry Reid, but they have at least a warm body willing to go up against him: Danny Tarkanian, never before elected but best known for losing the 2006 Secretary of State race. He also lost a state Senate race to Mike Schneider, although he did win a libel suit against Schneider over claims made during the campaign. (If his name sounds vaguely familiar, he's the son of The Shark, towel-biting former UNLV basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian.)

TX-Sen, TX-06: Smoky Joe Barton, who's been a Republican Representative in the Dallas suburbs since 1985, is reportedly interested in running for the Senate seat to be vacated by Kay Bailey Hutchison. Although he's a long-time power in the House, as one of 32 representatives he may not have the statewide name rec to go up against, for instance, Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst -- but it's a freebie, as he won't have to give up his seat to run in the special election.

AL-Gov, AL-02: I hadn't heard that Rep. Bobby Bright had considered running for Governor -- after all, he just got to the House -- and it sounds like he never really did, other than publicly saying "never say never." But today his office reaffirmed that he's running for re-election in the 2nd.

MN-Gov, MN-01: Minnesota's Republican Lt. Governor, Carol Molnau, is contemplating her place on the totem pole, with an open governor's seat in 2010 but every heavy-hitter in the state already running for it. She won't rule out the governor's race, but is also considering running in the 1st against Rep. Tim Walz, where she'd presumably have the primary to herself but would be running uphill against Walz, who had one of the most resounding re-elections of anyone from the Class of 06. (H/t MinnesotaMike.)

SC-Gov: Week from hell for Mark Sanford: first, his wife moves out, then it comes out that Mr. Fiscal Conservative has been using the state plane for personal trips, in violation of state rules, including for a birthday party and the kids' sporting events. Most notable: a trip between Myrtle Beach and Columbia just to get his hair cut, at a cost of $1,265.

NY-23: It's August 10, and that means candidate interviewing day for the Democratic party chairs in the 23rd. By the end of the day, we may know who the candidate will be. There's still no timetable on the special election, though; it may take a while for the nomination of Rep. John McHugh to be Secretary of the Army to go all the way through, as both Kansas Senators have put a hold on him in a tangentially-related effort to prevent Guantanamo detainees from being transferred to the military brig at Fort Leavenworth.

PA-10: Democratic Rep. Chris Carney finally has an announced opponent, Iraq vet and teabagger Christopher Bain. Considering that it's a red district, this seat seems to have been a low recruitment priority for the GOP.

Census: Elected officials in the Gulf Coast states are worried about how the Census Bureau will count people who are still displaced by Hurricane Katrina (general Census policy is to count people based on wherever they're residing on Apr. 1). This is a particular problem in New Orleans, which is hurting for funds but is down to a population of 311,000 (from 484,000 before the storm), and where a lower count means less funding; the city is hiring a full-time employee just to focus on local census issues.

Polltopia: Our friends at PPP are running another "Where should we poll?" poll. This week, you can vote for Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, or Pennsylvania. Also, interesting food for thought from Jay Leve, head of SurveyUSA, as he contemplates the future of polling, in a world where the old paradigm (where people are sitting around the house ready to answer their landline and take the time to respond to a pollster) is about to vanish.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 8/10
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IL-Sen: I just had a very scary thought about Burris running as an independent
It's similar to what Thomas Dodd (and Joe Lieberman, for that matter): lose your primary, run as an independent.  Burris may be crazy enough to do it.  Anyone know what Illinois law says about this?

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."- Andrew Jackson


I Was Just Browsing...
The results from that previous election in Connecticut in www.ourcampaigns.com, and the only difference I can see is that Dodd was a household name in Connecticut that still resonates (although more negatively today by the presence of his scandal-plagued son, Chris). Burris' last elected office was AG in Illinois in 1994. With all due respect, Burris is a washed up has-been. An independent candidacy from him would generate little support.

On another note, while I'm very entertained by the abundance of gaffes and hiccups in Mark Sanford's personal and political life, what does that really have to do with the race to succeed him as governor? I'm pretty sure even South Carolinans are intellect enough to understand that a Republican running next year is NOT Mark Sanford, that if he gets into office he's not going to act like Mark Sanford, God willing. Perhaps from this point on any news with the subject "SC-Gov." can be strictly related to the candidates from both parties, and not the outgoing scandal plagued incumbent.

My Can Of Contemplation is now open to all for perusal.


[ Parent ]
But...
You mean, you don't want to read any more entertaining reports on Sanford's latest follies?

[ Parent ]
No, But...
I specifically remember DavidNYC in a diary some time ago outlining the purpose of this site. It was to document election races across the country and give a boost to Democratic candidates. This kind of stuff about Sanford (i.e. his wife moving out of the house) borders on the kind of personal attacks that are more suited for the Drudge Report or Daily Kos. Just my opinion.

I don't mind reading about Sanford's hypocrisy, just not here.

My Can Of Contemplation is now open to all for perusal.


[ Parent ]
Sanford's follies affect the race next year...
Jim Rex, the Superintendent of Education and the only statewide elected Democrat, would not be considering a run for Gov., if Sanford had not imploded. It's quite relevant.  I live in SC.      

[ Parent ]
Has it ever occured to you...
...that this sort of thing is relevant because Sanford might eventually feel compelled to resign?

[ Parent ]
Not Really....
I'm not being sarcastic, but I honestly don't think Sanford is going to resign. Judging from his actions during his political career, he seems to have demonstrated that he will do mostly the unconventional thing when everybody else would have done the conventional.

For example, sleeping on a cot in his DC office when he was in Congress, bringing live pigs who defecated on the floor of the State Legislature. Even his recent tryst with his Argentinian lover suggests that he treated her as a actual soulmate instead of just some sleazy one night stand. Now as everybody expects him to resign, I think Sanford will somehow buckle the storm and remain in office to complete his term. I don't confess to understand how the man's mind works, but based on past actions that's my opinion of him.

My Can Of Contemplation is now open to all for perusal.


[ Parent ]
Well, whatever the case
We're still gonna write about this sort of stuff, so get used to it.

[ Parent ]
No
As long as Bauer is his LT, he's not gonna resign.  

[ Parent ]
Bauer and Michael Jackson saved Sanford
....he won't resign unless another bombshell explodes, and a significant one at that.

I've heard that whole 'sleeping on a cot in his office' was a phoney charade too, BTW.  


[ Parent ]
Dodd
Can we stop calling him scandal plagued?  The Ethics Committee exonerated him entirely over the mortgage "scandal."  His role in the AIG bonus affair was similarly overblown.

Mad At Thad:  A Blog Devoted To Ousting Rep. Thaddeus McCotter, Republican - Michigan

[ Parent ]
You can be plagued by scandal
Whether guilty or not. Perception is everything. Thats politics. He still has time to turn it around but the Ethics Committee is his last chance. I still think he'll end up retiring in the new year.

[ Parent ]
Ethics
The Ethics Committee already said that there was absolutely no wrong-doing on the part of Senator Dodd.

I understand Senator Dodd's problems; it just seems that if progressive bloggers are reinforcing the "Dodd=Scandal" meme, he has no chance.  I've seen it on Kos, too, and it certainly isn't helping Senator Dodd put the false allegations behind him.

Mad At Thad:  A Blog Devoted To Ousting Rep. Thaddeus McCotter, Republican - Michigan


[ Parent ]
Meaning using the report from the committee
Might be his last chance. I don't think anything we say makes any difference mind.

[ Parent ]
Speaking of the Ethics Committee...
...Do you think that Committee will actually censure Burris or Ensign?  

[ Parent ]
Dodd was cleared by
both democrats and republicans. Im getting sick of everyone bashing Dodd, he works very hard as a senator and has passed some good legislation.

[ Parent ]
That is a very scary thought
And he ain't Joe Lieberman. Unfortunately more Michael Jackson. And I don't mean the dead one.

[ Parent ]
The Joe Lieberman comparison was his attempt to keep the seat, not the results
He doesn't even need to be popular to cause trouble.  Say he has an approval rating of 18%.    (I think PPP found that in April).  Anyone who still approves of him now is probably a die-hard supporter of him.  If even only a fifth of his supporters vote for him, that 3.5% could be trouble in a close race.  

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can't think of at least two ways to spell any word."- Andrew Jackson


[ Parent ]
Lieberman
I know but I did. I agree that would be problem let alone the racial connotations. Argh just go away Roland!

[ Parent ]
I voted for PA
But I would also be interested in most of the other contests. . .

I'm not expecting pretty numbers for Democrats anywhere.  


Me neither
But I do think we are getting a false picture right now because of the economy.

[ Parent ]
Carolyn Maloney's aborted senate campaign
painfully reminded me how male chauvinist Greek mythology is.

My favorite is :

"I am senior empousa" she growled. "Nobody has beaten me for a thousand years."

Gorgon has been used for at a least century. I will not be suprised if Agatha Christie had used it.

I cannot find equally good male counterparts.


Big elections in Georgia on November 3
I posted this comment in the previous Daily Digest thread, but the thread was quite old at the time:

http://www.swingstateproject.c...

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


Peter Schiff's
money doesnt shock me. For some reason it appears this Ron Paul crowd loves giving thier money to these politicans, yet their numbers are still so small their guys normally dont win primaries, save Ron Paul himself.

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

CT-Sen: On which side is Peter Schiff running?
Wikipedia says it's the R's side.

I saw the news tonight and it had a summary of who's running, and IIRC that the D side has Dodd and Merrick Alpert (whose name for some reason I've heard of before, but I can't remember where), and the R side has Simmons, Sam Caligiuri, and (Ambassador) Tom Foley.  Schiff would be entering a nice crowded primary.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway


[ Parent ]
US Census in Louisiana
It's a tough situation for counting people who are displaced by Hurricane Katrina.  On one hand, you want them to have a higher count so they can qualify for more funding.  

On the other hand, as of April 1st, those people will have been living there for 4.5 years now.  So the places where they live now can make a strong argument that they should be counted there instead, so that they can get funding there.


Funding
There are ways to specially fund people displaced by Hurricane Katrina without messing with the Census. There are also ways to direct some funding on the basis of need, rather than just population.

[ Parent ]
Don Young
The Anchorage Daily News reports that Congressman Don Young (AK-At Large) just lost Lu, his wife of more than 40 years.  Young ranks second in seniority among House Republicans.  I don't know if this would make him more inclined to retire or my inclined to seek re-election.

I guess it goes to show that Congress members are people first.


Condolences
Whatever we think of Don Young's politics and ethics, our primary feeling right now should be sympathy with his loss.

[ Parent ]
Long knives out for
David Paterson. He's being pushed out.  

Well I can't say I'm to surprised
         This was only a matter of time. There is no way the NY Dem establishment is going to let him run with those numbers.  

[ Parent ]
Great John Huntsman quote
Looks like Huntsman (one of the few Rs I genuinely like) is getting fed up with the nuts in his party:

"I have no time and no patience to deal with political gamesmanship and rhetoric and extremist points of view. We live in the real world."

Obama made a very smart move in making this guy our ambassador to China.



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