Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Democracy Corps (8/25-26, likely voters, 8/11-12 in parens):
Jon Corzine (D-inc): 41 (35)
Chris Christie (R): 43 (40)
Chris Daggett (I): 7 (10)
(MoE: ±4%)
Rasmussen Reports (8/25, likely voters, 8/4 in parens):
Jon Corzine (D-inc): 42 (39)
Chris Christie (R): 50 (52)
Other: 2 (4)
Undecided: 7 (5)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Rasmussen still refuses to include Chris Daggett as an option in their poll, which seriously puts into question the utility of these results. However, the trend confirms GQR’s findings — Corzine has stopped the bleeding, and Christie appears to have peaked:
Certainly, the Corzine campaign has enjoyed quite a run over the past couple of weeks, successfully smacking Christie over his collusion with Rove while still a U.S. Attorney, and making some well-placed hits on his curious friendship (and the loans that came with it) with former aide Michele Brown. Yesterday’s news that Christie was caught speeding with an unregistered and uninsured car (with Brown along for the ride as a passenger, no less) back in 2005 have ensured that the bruising isn’t over yet.
While SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican, Team Corzine is doing the right things to have a good shot at pushing this one back into Tossup turf.
not 3.5%
So, this poll has Christie’s lead within the MoE! For the first time in a quite while. Go Team Corzine.
Whats interesting is that undecideds went up by 2 and Christie lost 2 points. I feel that more Christie voters are moving into the undecided column and because they are unsure whether they really want him as their governor. The sign that voters are loosing confidence in Christie shows that the momentum is on Corzine’s side. I expect Corzine to start leading in the polls in early October.
because people eventually almost always ignore the irrelevant alternatives anyway. But it looks very much like Daggett is becoming a sink for anti-Corzine votes that might otherwise go to Christie. In the meantime, Christie is self-destructing.
I think this race is becoming somewhat more winnable–and I’d written it off between August and the most recent R2K poll (I hope we get another one of those before long).
but, all the same, it seems like God just likes to toy with Jersey Republicans.