• CT-Sen: Richard Blumenthal just ended his presser, and it was forceful and an attempt to go back on the offensive. (Reid Wilson‘s tweet sums it up pretty well: “Shot: Dick Blumenthal’s press conference. Chaser: Mark Sanford’s press conference. Study in opposites.”) He admitted to misspeaking on “in Vietnam,” but went after the NYT for the implied impugning of those who served stateside. Good damage control, but we’ll have to wait a few days to see if it takes. The local establishment seems to be taking a wait-and-see attitude, too, as Joe Lieberman is publicly saying he’s still undecided on the race (recall, though, that Blumenthal endorsed Ned Lamont, and Lieberman tends to be one who holds a grudge); the DSCC, though, is cranking things up defending Blumenthal.
Meanwhile, the GOP has been taking credit for funneling this oppo research to the Times… however, after initially taking a premature victory lap around the ring bellowing with arms raised, the Linda McMahon camp has suddenly pulled earlier references to feeding the info to the NYT off its website.
• FL-Sen: Billionaire Jeff Greene is going up with not one but two different introductory TV ads, calling himself a job-creating outsider. Looks like he’s serious about spending some major cash on his rather quixotic bid in the Democratic primary,.
• KY-Sen (pdf): One last poll sneaked across the finish line, from Republican pollster Magellan (not working on either candidate’s behalf). In their poll of the GOP primary, they find, consistent with most pollsters, a big edge for Rand Paul; he leads Trey Grayson 55-30. PPP has some pretty tantalizing tidbits of cat fud that they found in the crosstabs of their GOP primary poll, though. Grayson supporters, i.e. establishment Republicans who probably secretly like their earmarks, really, really, don’t like Rand Paul. Grayson supporters give Paul 23/53 favorables, and only 40% of them say they’ll vote for Paul, while 43% flat-out say they won’t vote for him.
• WA-Sen: While the Glenn Thrushes and Chris Cillizzas of the world seem to have some inside information that leads them to say that Dino Rossi is on the precipice of announcing his Senate run, there’s just nothing in the local press that seems to bear that out. Instead, all we’ve got is a lot of lower-level Republicans getting impatient and starting to take each their frustrations out on each other. Clark Co. Commissioner Tom Mielke sent around an e-mail to various other state GOPers saying that Rossi’s dithering is angering the base and hurting Republican chances of picking up the seat. The Seattle Times somehow got ahold of the e-mail and a bunch of responses from other insiders, if you want a glimpse behind the state GOP’s curtain. Another insider, Mathew Manweller, pointed out that Mielke has an axe to grind as a Don Benton supporter, but also told the Times over the weekend that “Dino probably has to make a decision here and let people know within a week or so, or the milk is going to sour.”
• WI-Sen: As expected, wealthy businessman Ron Johnson formally announced yesterday that he’s getting in the GOP primary to go against Russ Feingold, joining three other never-before-elected rich guys. Wondering how Johnson made his fortune? Just one word: plastics.
• IA-Gov: In case the ideological fault lines in the GOP gubernatorial primary in Iowa couldn’t get any clearer, Mitt Romney announced he’s endorsing Terry Branstad for a return engagement. In fact, this may say more about Romney’s plans than anything, as he seems to be trying to monopolize the sane/establishment wing of the party for 2012 against a Palin/Huckabee split among the nutters.
• NY-Gov: The Conservative Party is trying once again to upstage the Republicans in New York; their latest move involves moving their nominating convention up to May 28, three days before the GOP nominating convention. They’re committed to backing Rick Lazio, and this is a move designed to force the GOP’s hand into backing Lazio as well, rather than party-switching Steve Levy, in order to avoid a NY-23-style split between the GOP and the Conservatives.
• WI-Gov: Looking for some traction in the GOP primary, Mark Neumann is accusing Milwaukee Co. Exec Scott Walker of “working part-time” so he can campaign. (Does any officeholder not work part-time in the months leading up to an election?) Meanwhile, there was a big-time Walker walk-back, after he initially voiced displeasure with Arizona’s anti-illegal immigrant law and then got deluged with negative comments on his Facebook page. Now suddenly he’s for it, saying he changed his mind after talking to the Arizona state senator who proposed it.
• WY-Gov: Well, this is progress… I guess. Natrona County Democratic chair R.C. Johnson says she’ll take one for the team and run for Governor on the Democratic line if no other viable candidate does. (The state party convention came and went last weekend without any takers.) Don’t bowl us all over with your enthusiasm, R.C.!
• HI-01: Three of Hawaii’s Democratic ex-Governors (John Waihee, George Ariyoshi, and Ben Cayetano) put out coordinated statements urging voters to, whatever else they might do, not vote for Charles Djou in the messed-up special election. Waihee said Djou winning would be a “nightmare.”
• SC-05: Well, this is more than a little tasteless: the NRCC issued a statement referring to “Amnesiac John Spratt” and accusing him of having “completely forgotten” who he’s working for. Spratt, of course, recently revealed that he’s in the early stages of Parkinson’s Disease, and his opponent, Mick Mulvaney, has carefully steered clear of turning that into a campaign issue. Have no fear, Mick, the NRCC’s always willing to do what you aren’t.
• VA-05 (pdf): So what’s it like being in the World of Hurt? Pretty good, at least according to his own internal poll. Robert Hurt claims a POS poll gives him 35% of the vote in the GOP primary, with his nearest rival, Ken Boyd (the other non-teabagger in the race) lagging at 10%. The assorted teabaggers accumulated together account for another 9%.
• Things in General: CQ has a moderately interesting article today on other pending anti-incumbent primaries. Mostly I’m including it because one quote lingered with me, and I wanted to blockquote it for future reference, as a useful bit of perspective for anyone who gets a little too worked up about whatever’s being hyperbolically, breathlessly being reported on in the news any given day:
“We overreact to everything here in Washington,” said longtime Democratic media consultant Steve Murphy.
http://foxandhoundsdaily.com/b…
Campbell up 33-28-15 over Fiorina/DeVore.
http://www.governing.com/blogs…
A “yes” would have a combination of tax increases and spending cuts. It’s being supported by Brewer among others.
If yes wins it could be a sign voters are willing to take some tax hikes to save services. I’d say it’s worth watching.
I think making it a toss-up is a little dramatic. Anyone else? I still don’t see it as something that could cost him the election.
http://voices.washingtonpost.c…
Probably very good for Sestak but not for Critz (though turnout is better in PA-12).
several young Republicans who had planned to take leaves of absnece from their employers to wokr on a Rossi campaign have already told their employers “there will be no campaign. I need no leave.”
Word about Rossi’s negative decision starting working its way through state grapevineas last Thursday but so far there has been no announcement. I’ve heard that Benton got some substantial donations last Friday based upon Rossi’s decision to stay out but I haven’t been able to confirm.
After the presser I’m wondering if we might have been a little hasty on Blumenthal. Cook has moved it tossup I see. Clearly it becomes more competitive but the more I think about it I don’t think it is fatal at all.
Not only as the Democratic nominee but in the general election as well. I think the Times has trumped this up to be more than it truly is. When I first heard this story last night, I thought for sure he was finished. From the way this story was sold, it sounded like Blumenthal had been consistently lying about himself in front of every audience when he addressed his Vietnam-era service.
This is not the case. Misspeaking is not the same as being a habitual liar. Fighting back against this forcefully was the right thing to do for this campaign.
Somebody compared this to Hillary Clinton talking about being under sniper fire in Bosnia. She went on to win fiercely fought contests in the primary after that story broke.
I think that’s a pretty good comparison. LIke Clinton, Blumenthal is a well-known figure in the state. He has a reservoir of goodwill built up that’s going to help him survive this.
Although if he doesn’t survive, I just read today that Susan Bysiewicz has been ruled ineligble to run for state attorney general by the state Supreme Court. She could be waiting in the wings.
I am trying to figure out why Branstad would want to roll out Romney’s endorsement before the primary. Most of the Iowa Republicans who backed Romney are probably already for Branstad, and Romney’s Iowa chairman (Doug Gross) is a real lightning rod for the Iowa GOP.
http://www.klfy.com/Global/sto…
Both houses have approved it; the Senate amended it so that it takes effect this year. The House has to approve the amended version, then it goes to Jindal’s desk. Sigh.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
The best news out of this poll is only 26% believe Blumenthal should exit the race. However, 53% say his military service will be an important factor in the election.
http://publicpolicypolling.blo…
Sorry GOP, that 1994 nostalgia was fun while it lasted!