The DCCC has upped their budget for ad reservations by $20 million, hitting up twenty more districts, including open seats, a handful of incumbents, and for the first time, a small batch of Republican-held targets. Here’s the full list:
| District | Incumbent | Obama %ge |
| AR-01 | OPEN | 38% |
| AR-02 | OPEN | 44% |
| DE-AL | OPEN | 62% |
| FL-25 | OPEN | 49% |
| HI-01 | Djou | 70% |
| IL-10 | OPEN | 61% |
| IN-08 | OPEN | 47% |
| LA-02 | Cao | 74% |
| MA-10 | OPEN | 55% |
| MD-01 | Kratovil | 40% |
| MI-01 | OPEN | 50% |
| NH-01 | Shea-Porter | 53% |
| NH-02 | OPEN | 56% |
| OR-05 | Schrader | 54% |
| PA-07 | OPEN | 56% |
| PA-15 | Dent | 56% |
| TN-08 | OPEN | 43% |
| WA-03 | OPEN | 52% |
| WI-07 | OPEN | 56% |
| WV-01 | OPEN | 42% |
Just six Republican targets are listed: DE-AL, FL-25, HI-01, IL-10, LA-02, and PA-15. The D-trip isn’t done yet, though. The New York Times reports that the committee intends to release another list of districts in the near future. All told, the DCCC has reserved $49 million worth of ad time in 61 districts. (The first batch is available here.) That’s not to say that the D-trip will end up spending in all of these races, but the option is on the table.
really sure why AR-02 is on the list. I would classify these with LA-03, and TN-06 because of our nominee. But maybe I’m wrong.
Too many people were hand-wringing, “why not this one? Why not that one?”
The omissions don’t mean anything, these are decided and released in waves for media coverage effect.
A bunch of the ones that people thought should be on here before, are on here now.
Oh, and I’m plenty happy to see ad time reserved for a half-dozen pickup opportunities. I feel bad for John Callahan that he’s in the wrong cycle when he could’ve won in 2006 or 2008, but the other 5 are legit in my mind.
And one more thing: the National Journal House race rankings by Tim Sahd, with a Top 40 in order of likely to flip parties, includes 5 Dem pickup opportunities, with one surprise: instead of FL-25 or PA-15, they have Dan Lungren in CA-03 at no. 39. Ami Bera, an Indian-American doctor, is the well-funded challenger there. The other 4 Dem pickup opportunities are the same 4 we all know: LA-02; DE-AL; HI-01; and IL-10. Happily all 4 of those are in the top 18. And to my mild surprise, HI-01 is no. 13, which is pretty high considering the amount of angst some SSPers have had about our chances of unseating Djou.