SSP Daily Digest: 8/3 (Afternoon Edition)

• CO-Sen: Now it’s Michael Bennet’s turn to dip into his personal funds to pay for the closing days of the Democratic Senate primary. After Andrew Romanoff posted a lead in the most recent poll of the primary (and sold his house to finance his last push), now Bennet’s fronting himself $300K. Here’s some good news, though, if Romanoff does succeed in pulling off the upset: he’s reversed course on his previous refusals of DSCC help (seemingly aware of the difficulty of winning without it, with him having burned through all his money on the primary). Meanwhile, on the GOP side of the fence, John McCain is providing some good news! for Jane Norton. He’ll be stumping on her behalf soon, and also sent around a fundraising e-mail, asking for another $200K for Norton and attacking Ken Buck’s past prosecutorial misconduct. (Buck responded by saying that McCain and “his lobbyist friends” were “greasing the power brokers” for Norton. “Greasing the power brokers?” I’m not even sure what that means, and I don’t know if I want to.)

• PA-Sen: Diarist cilerder86 does some digging into Joe Sestak’s Act Blue contributions, and finds that his fundraising isn’t letting up at all. In fact, based on Act Blue data (which seems to have a stable relationship with his overall fundraising), he extrapolates Sestak having raised at least $1.1 million in July, and on track to raise at least $3 million this quarter.

• CO-Gov: It looks like John Hickenlooper had the right idea emptying his coffers to reserve cheap ad space and hope they’d get refilled quickly, because they did. Of course, it helps that he got a big assist from Scott McInnis’s well-timed implosion. Hickenlooper’s pre-primary report had $203K raised in the last two weeks of July, compared with $41K for McInnis and $20K for fellow GOPer Dan Maes.

• GA-Gov: With Barack Obama speaking in Atlanta, Dem nominee Roy Barnes managed to be found in a totally different part of the state, meeting in rural Monroe County with 28 county sheriffs who are supporting his candidacy at a previously-scheduled engagement. Barnes said, “I’d rather be with these folks, if you want to know the truth. I’m not running for governor of Washington D.C. I’m running for governor of Georgia.”

• HI-Gov: Mufi Hannemann is the money leader in the Hawaii governor’s race. He raised $822K in the first half of the year, and is sitting on $2 million CoH. Democratic primary rival Neil Abercrombie raised $712K in that period, but spent considerably, leaving him with only $469K CoH. Republican Duke Aiona raised $374K in the first half, and has $719K CoH.

• MI-Gov: There’s word of one more poll out in Michigan of the Dem gubernatorial primary. Details are, well, sketchy; all I can tell you is that it’s from a firm I’ve never heard of, Foster McCollum White & Associates, and I have no idea whether it’s a public poll or an internal from Virg Bernero or an ally. At any rate, it’s more evidence for a late Bernero surge, giving him a 50-22 lead over Andy Dillon.

• MA-10: With most of the attention having fallen on the flawed Republican candidates in this open seat race, it’s easy to forget there’s still a competitive Democratic primary between two well-established fixtures here too. State Sen. Robert O’Leary has the lead in his own internal poll, conducted by Gerstein-Agne. He leads Norfolk Co. DA William Keating 44-38, with a 57-38 lead among voters who know both candidates.

• NY-25: Dueling internals got rolled out in the 25th, which is pretty low on people’s priority lists in New York, but still needs to be watched carefully, given the climate of the day. Republican challenger Ann Marie Buerkle (one of the more obscure Mama Grizzlies) offered a poll from McLaughlin & Associates giving Democratic incumbent Dan Maffei a 46-37 lead (and closer numbers among those who’ve heard of both). Maffei responded with a Kiley & Co. poll giving him a 54-35 lead instead.

• Rasmussen:

• AZ-Sen: Rodney Glassman (D) 34%, John McCain (R-inc) 53%

• AZ-Sen: Rodney Glassman (D) 43%, J.D. Hayworth (R) 38%

• CO-Gov: John Hickenlooper (D) 43%, Scott McInnis (R) 25%, Tom Tancredo (I) 24%

• CO-Gov: John Hickenlooper (D) 42%, Dan Maes (R) 27%, Tom Tancredo (I) 24%

• NY-Sen-B: Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc) 50%, Joe DioGuardi (R) 33%

• NY-Sen-B: Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc) 48%, Bruce Blakeman (R) 34%

• NY-Sen-B: Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc) 51%, David Malpass (R) 31%

• SC-Sen: Alvin Greene (D) 20%, Jim DeMint (R-inc) 62%

65 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 8/3 (Afternoon Edition)”

  2. Hayworth has dropped off a lot, but I’m still crossing my fingers he can beat McCain and send this race into toss up territory for the general.

  3. Headline on Alvin Greene’s web site tomorrow.

    “Rasmussen Poll: Greene narrows the gap!”

  4. How does Colorado treat their incumbents usually?  Is this a seat we could expect him to hold on to for a while if he wins?  

    I am somewhat worried about the Tancredo movement.  I know it seems unlikely, but god help us if McInnin/Maes drops out and endorses Tancredo.  Sure he’d still be an underdog, but I don’t like the thought of crazy (Tancredo) + stupid (McInnis) teaming up ever.

  5. I hope the primary is conclusive.  I don’t want a recount.  I expect the loser to endorse the winner almost immediately.  We just can’t have a recount.

  6. “prosecutorial misconduct.” Buck disclosed perceived weaknesses in his case. The term “prosecutorial misconduct” ought to be reserced for actions that trench on the rights of a defendant to a fair trial, or which create a risk of erroneous conviction. It’s important for two reasons: 1) it is a more serious charge than Buck’s conduct merited, though Buck was clearly out of school in disclosing this information to a third party for political gain, and 2) it creates a false equivalence between breaches of office policy to the detriment of the prosecution, and conduct that generally undermines the integrity of the justice system. The issue is bigger than this moron, or his unmistakeably poor judgment in this episode.

  8. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38…

    U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid leads his Republican rival Sharron Angle by 48 percent to 44 percent among likely Nevada voters, a Reuters-Ipsos poll found Tuesday.

    Reid led Tea Party favorite Angle 52 percent to 36 percent among registered voters

  9. I think Barnes made the right move. Those Sheriffs will do much more to help Barnes than Obama could ever do in Georgia.

    A few on the left are complaining, but I believe most Georgia Democrats agree with Barnes decision.

  10. Jerry Brown wins in November. He still leads in most polls despite spending barely over $600k while Meg Whitman has spent over a $100m. I knew it was bad but that is a breathtaking disparity.

    http://www.fresnobee.com/2010/…

    Though the involvement of Trippi does concern me slightly.

  12. We want them [the media] to ask the questions we want to answer so that they report the news the way we want it to be reported.

    Watch the whole thing, she even mentions fundraising and, well, wow.  She’s such a moron.  Im starting to regret ever saying a bad thing about Harry Reid as Majority Leader.  He’s a scrappy son of a bitch, and I like love it.

  13. Someone suggested that Jennifer Nelson’s comments about Grimm’s “Jewish Money” were so bizarre and such political suicide that she probably was a plant.

    Interestingly it turns out ten years before being hired by Mike McMahon’s campaign 3 months ago as his spokesperson she was in fact the spokesperson for Guy Molinari, former Republican Congressman and Borough President as well as political godfather of Michael Grimm.

    http://www.observer.com/2010/p…

    It’s mentioned in the last paragraph of the silive story.  Though I can’t recall seeing that mentioned before. Wish I could find that issue of the Advance so I could double check if it was a silent edit.

    http://www.silive.com/news/ind…

  15. in Louisville Mayoral election

    Fischer (D)-45

    Heiner (R)-45

    538 likely Jefferson County voters surveyed July 29 through Aug. 1 by SurveyUSA.

    Shit just got real. Before the primary I did not think Heiner was that serious but it is clear now that this will be very competitive. I know you are probably thinking who cares, but if Heiner wins and becomes popular then he could run to succeed Yarmuth whenever he retires. Louisville is very liberal I mean I can’t even remember it ever having a Republican mayor, not in my lifetime anyway. The incumbent Mayor has been on the job on the job (minus one term) since 1986. He has been dubbed the title “Mayor for life” and honestly I think voters might want to spice things up a bit. This is not rare, I mean it is happening in Oregon right now and happened in Idaho in 2006. Plus Heiner is fairly liberal I think, I believe (could be wrong, just heard from a friend) he is pro-choice and gay friendly. I still expect Fischer to win though. He will advertise like you would not believe and honestly I think Fischer will get the libs out, Yarmuth will help him. The bright spot in this is that it could actually help Conway as it will drive out turnout and those voting for Heiner can probably stand a moderate Republican like him but would never vote for Paul and Conway is from here and is liked by pretty much everyone. Just one theory though.  

    http://www.courier-journal.com…

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