12:56am: The AP’s called KS-01 for Tim Huelskamp. With MI-01 and MI-02 not looking like they’ll be resolved tonight, and MI-09 having a clear frontrunner in Raczkowski, SSP is going to call it a night!
12:50am: MI-09 (R) is looking good for Rocky Raczkowski, who’s ahead 42-27 with 72% reporting.
12:48am: The KS-04 GOP primary is called for Mike Pompeo, who has 39%. Pro-choice Planned Parenthood-endorsed state Senator Jean Schodorf finishes second with 24%.
12:42am: The AP’s also called MI-03 for Justin Amash, who becomes the favorite to succeed outgoing GOPer Vern Ehlers. KS-02 (D) is called for Cheryl Hudspeth, and not netroots fave Sean Tevis, who finishes in third.
12:39am: The AP’s finally called MI-13 for Hansen Clarke. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick is the 4th House incumbent and 6th member of Congress to get booted, joining the ranks of Reps. Parker Griffith, Alan Mollohan, and Bob Inglis and Sens. Arlen Specter and Bob Bennett.
12:33am: The AP’s called Jerry Moran the winner in KS-Sen. Just like we’ve been saying.
12:28am: Back in Kansas, Moran continues to nurse his lead over Tiahrt. Still very little from the three largest counties in KS-01, which is 70% reporting and 69-27 Moran. KS-04 is 85% reporting, 67-27 Tiahrt. Moran winning the rest 48-45.
12:22am: Legal just got back to us about Michigan’s automatic recounts, and the 2,000-vote margin provision applies only to statewide contests.
12:18am: Just two measly precincts left in MI-01, where the margin has shrunk to 39 votes. The ticker tape says a mere 10-vote margin for Benishek when this is over.
12:07am: Just five precincts left in MI-01. Two are in Allen-friendly Bay County, the rest in Benishek-friendly Iosco County. SSPLabs predicts an 86-vote edge for Benishek when this is done.
12:05am: Back in MI-02, most of the outstanding precincts are in Muskegon County, where Bill Cooper’s getting almost half the vote. That won’t push him back into contention, but Riemersma’s 2nd-place performance there so far might help him overcome his 593-vote deficit to Huizenga.
12:01am: Here’s one race we haven’t mentioned too much tonight: MI-09. According to the Oakland County Clerk, Rocky Raczkowski has a 41-26 lead over Paul Welday with almost 50% in.
11:57pm: The recount provisions may be significant in MI-02 as well, where Bill Huizenga has a 600-vote lead over Jay Riemersma.
11:55pm: In MI-01, Benishek continues to hold his narrow lead over Allen. SSP Labs is telling us this will hold and that Benishek will prevail by about 120 votes. SSP Legal is looking to Michigan’s recount provisions; the standard in general elections is 2,000 votes or less, no word on primaries.
11:36pm: The Missouri GOP House primaries are pretty much over (but with no calls from the AP yet). In MO-04, Vicki Hartzler is up 41-30 over Bill Stouffer and has a 9,000 vote edge; in MO-07, Billy Long is up 37-29 over Jack Goodman and has a 7,500 vote edge.
11:34pm: The KS-Sen race has been called! The Dem side, that is, for Lisa Johnston.
11:31pm: More precincts trickle in up in MI-01. The SSP Labs mainframe is still telling us 38.8 Benishek, 37.8 Allen. It’s telling us also there are about 3,100 votes left to count.
11:26pm: KS-Sen keeps seesawing with us, but this recent tightening can be attributed to another 11% of KS-04 having rolled in. Tiahrt’s still winning his base 68-27, Moran’s winning his 69-28, and Moran splitting the DMZ (still) 48-45. KS-01 is still at 52% reporting.
11:24pm: State Rep. Kevin Yoder’s been declared the winner on the GOP side in KS-03, he’ll go on to face Stephene Moore in November.
11:18pm: Back on the GOP side, Jerry Moran is starting to pull away from Todd Tiahrt. 51% of Moran’s KS-01 is reporting compared to 57% of Tiahrt’s KS-04. More votes are being cast in KS-01 and Moran’s also winning the neutral zone 48-45.
11:16pm: In the significantly less-exciting KS-Sen Dem primary, Lisa Johnston continues to nurse her 31-24 lead over Charles Schollenberger.
11:12pm: A mere 36 votes separates Benishek from Allen in MI-01, but SSP Labs is still telling us that Benishek will pull this out 38.9 to 37.7, thanks to his strong 53-26 in the UP while holding his losses to 46-29 under the bridge.
11:10pm: Michigan Radio has called MI-13 for Hansen Clarke, making Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick the 4th House incumbent booted this year.
11:06pm: The lead keeps changing hands in MI-02; Kuipers has fallen from first to third, while Riemersma has moved to second. 72% reporting there. Amash is still leading in MI-03; Clarke continues to hold the advantage over Cheeks Kilpatrick in MI-13.
It’s a progressive party!
Results:
Kansas: Associated Press | Politico
Michigan: Associated Press | Politico | MI DoS
Missouri: Associated Press | Politico | MO SoS
well next week…
Hopefully it’s more exciting than tonight. I just can’t wait for all the wrestling metaphors from my own CT and the nuts in Colorado.
i guess im not that surprised but moran and tihart each have twice as many votes as all of the dems combined.
in all 3 kc area counties?
He’s a real far-right winger. Benishek seems more beatable than a more moderate state senator in Jason Allen.
Prop C is winning with 71% yes.
I am interested in the downballot statewide races in Kansas. The Democrats currently hold all of these offices except for Insurance Commissioner and the Democrats that hold these positions were not elected to them (Republicans were elected to two out of the three downballot statewide offices that are currently represented by Democrats). With Brownback and Moran/Tiahrt sure to win, a coattail effect should be evident. Also, it is a Republican year in a Republican state. However, Kansas seems to be a quirky state politically. It elected Sebelius to two terms as Governor but both times her running mates were former Republicans.
Tevis’s American Nations idea never caught on?
http://twitter.com/amyrchapman…
With Snyder winning the GOP nom, I could actually see him endorsing Snyder or not endorsing at all. Snyder is probably closer to Dillon ideologically than Bernero.
Am I counting correctly that more Republicans voted in the primary than Dems in Jackson Co? If so, does anyone know the last time that happened?
I am glad the Kilpatrick lost, I think I am anyway. I researched Clark and he seems like a nice enough guy. I think we have discussed this before, but what ethnicity is he?
Good for Bernero, he has one hell of a job ahead of him, but that’s nothing if he actually gets elected. Why anyone would want to govern Michigan right now is beyond me. If Dillon ever wants a career in politics then he needs to endorse him. Possible LG’s? What about Michael Moore, JK or hell stranger things have happened. Smith would probably be a good pick or maybe pick Dillon to help heal wounds from the primary.
I am glad Snyder won tonight. Believe it or not I love seeing moderate Republicans win as I think it is good for the country. I am especially glad Hoekstra lost, since the Republicans are likely going to take back Governor this year I do not want a nut like him in office. Possible LG’s? I really do not know, Cox or Hoekstra or maybe the SoS.
The Legislature finally passed a budget tonight, but they also passed a measure that says prisoners must be counted as residents of the cities they lived in before they were arrested as of the 2010 Census. This is huge news for the state.
New York has almost 60,000 state prisoners, and most of these are held in prisons upstate. 60,000 is half an Assembly district and one-fifth of State Senate district. With stagnant or falling growth upstate, and with the city alone probably gaining 500,000 people since 2000, this could throw the State Senate upside down in giving the City perhaps two new seats at the expense of upstate. At the least, urban areas around the state will benefit at the expense of rural areas, and in particular Downstate interests will benefit greatly (please fully fund the MTA!), unless a lot of prisoners somehow happened to be from Buffalo.
Is probably going to be one of the closest recent primaries for a congressional race. I’m thinking around a 5-10 vote Allen win tonight, and Allen winning by around 50 after the recount.
Tiahrt does not belong in the senate. Now he can become a lobbyist for Koch Industries.
It looks we have a new Dr. Dan in town! Benishek leads by 102 votes!
Cue the chorus: “primaries are hard to poll”
But checking now it seems nobody even accidentally got either Mi-Gov or GOP KS-Sen close to right.
Tiahrt would have likely won. The trends from SurveyUSA were completely ominous for Moran but he held on as time ran out on Tiahrt.
It went from a 23 point lead to a 20-point lead to a 14-point lead to a 10-point lead. Congrats to Moran though.
The SoS by 1 vote, AP by 12. IDK why it changed to 12 from 102, when all 100% were in earlier.
Dems nominated their strongest candidate in current (appointed) SoS Chris Biggs (well done, Team Blue) while Republicans have nominated radical anti-immigration lawyer Kris Kobach, the dude who mostly wrote Arizona’s controversial SB 1070.
The formerly-mustachioed Biggs ran as a competent, apolitical technocrat, while Kobach ran as a vociferous Know Nothing right-winger who pledged to wipe out voter fraud (aka-disenfranchise anyone darker than taupe). Kobach is a fracking evil nutjob and the SoS office is rather powerful–meaning that this has instantly become the marquee downballot race in the state.
http://www.uppermichiganssourc…
I have no doubt the SEIU will “Win” this for Allen. And yes, I know that is not a popular statement here.
I’m guessing Thursday morning Ras will have a new MI-Gov poll out. What are yall predicting he’ll show? I’m gonna go with a huge primary bounce for Snyder, 65-35.
the AWOL Dem candidate got 26,341 votes. No clue how many votes Lance Enderle (the write-in candidate) got but I sincerely doubt it was enough to win.
The decision on Perry v. Schwarzenegger (the lawsuit challenging Prop 8) is expected to come Wednesday (today) between 1 and 4 PM Pacific time. Signs point to a ruling against Prop 8 but either way it will likely be appealed. I’m wondering if this will get enough press to bring social issues back to the forefront of politics, at least for a little bit.
In MI-01 (R), the Michigan Secretary of State’s office (which seems to have the freshest results) shows Dan Benishek leading by exactly 1 (one) vote.
Benishek – 27,091
Allen – 27,090