Market Shares Corp for the Chicago Tribune/WGN (8/28-9/1, likely voters, no trend lines):
Pat Quinn (D-inc): 32
Bill Brady (R): 37
Scott Lee Cohen (I): 4
Rich Whitney (G): 2
Lex Green (L): 2
Did You Know… that Pat Quinn has not held the lead in a single poll this year?
Granted, nearly all of these polls have come from just two sources (PPP and Rasmussen), but that’s really a non-comfort here given the sheer volume of them.
It seem that this race is getting closer due to the strong Democratic lean of the State in whole. Over the summer Brady’s lead over Quinn was on average about 8 percentage points. If this poll is indeed accurate then we may see Quinn come back from behind and win this race once Brady is defined as the downstate right wing lunatic at he is.
Not saying this for certain, but it’s highly likely she’d have this locked up if she had run. I suspect she didn’t make a go of it because of the perception that Quinn could win and that the primary wasn’t worth the fight.
Maybe he’ll pull it out after all. (I wouldn’t bet on it though)
Obama ads and/or campaigning here could help make sure they decide for the Dem and actually vote (I see that the poll is LV’s, but still).
In any event, Obama ought to be working here anyway to avoid the massive embarrassment of his old Senate seat flipping to R.
when SSP is going to realize it’s BILL Brady, not BOB Brady. They’ve done this in several posts. Bob Brady is from PA-1